Match Info

Starligue - Round 12

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports 3


	Limoges		Fenix Toulouse

	1	X	2
	1.85	8	2.6
	1.82	8.2	2.33
	1.83	8.85	2.28	Watch
	1.86	9.2	2.25	Watch
	1.81	9	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 (1.83)	8.65 ↓ (8.85)	2.38 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Limoges
50.5%

Draw
10.7%

Fenix Toulouse
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

10.3%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

10.1%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Limoges has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Fenix Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Limoges than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenix Toulouse than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Limoges - Fenix Toulouse Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Limoges will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Toulouse will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:32

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Limoges won 0.

Limoges is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Toulouse's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Limoges may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Limoges won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 300:308. (average 30:30.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Limoges won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 146:153. (average 29.2:30.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Limoges Hand 87
French Starligue Handball
21.11.25	Limoges - USAM Nimes	33:33 ✺
14.11.25	Pays dAix - Limoges	30:32 ✺
09.11.25	Limoges - HBC Nantes	35:40 ✺
25.10.25	Saint-Raphael - Limoges	29:31 ✺
17.10.25	Limoges - Dijon	32:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWLWW
- Fenix Toulouse
EHF European League
25.11.25	Kristianstad - Fenix Toulouse	34:26 ✺
French Starligue Handball
21.11.25	Fenix Toulouse - Dunkerque	36:27 ✺
EHF European League
18.11.25	Fenix Toulouse - Sesvete	32:37 ✺
11.11.25	Sesvete - Fenix Toulouse	32:31 ✺
French Starligue Handball
08.11.25	Fenix Toulouse - Paris Saint-Germain	33:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Starligue Handball
01.06.25	Fenix Toulouse - Limoges	35:32
28.09.24	Limoges - Fenix Toulouse	28:29
11.02.24	Fenix Toulouse - Limoges	29:29
20.10.23	Limoges - Fenix Toulouse	29:32
03.03.23	Fenix Toulouse - Limoges	33:33
16.09.22	Limoges - Fenix Toulouse	33:31
08.04.22	Limoges - Fenix Toulouse	26:36

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