Match Info

SWEDEN: HANDBOLLSLIGAN

Date: 25 March 2024, Monday


	Lugi		Alingsås

	1	X	2
	2.7	7.5	1.67
	2.65	8.5	1.72
	2.67	8.34	1.7
	2.5	8	1.67
	2.62	8	1.76	Watch
	2.6	8.4	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.96)	8.12 ↓ (8.2)	1.71 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugi
35%

Draw
11.3%

Alingsås
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

11%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

10.6%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Alingsås has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugi than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lugi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alingsås than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alingsås could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lugi - Alingsås Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:29

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lugi won 2.

Lugi is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alingsås is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Alingsås will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Alingsås to win the game is with odds 1.77.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Lugi won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 422-439.

Including matches at home between the teams Lugi won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 178-176.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lugi HF
Swedish Elitserien Handball
20.03.24	HF Karlskrona - Lugi	34:23 ✺
08.03.24	Eskilstuna Guif - Lugi	25:32 ✺
03.03.24	Amo HK - Lugi	28:25 ✺
28.02.24	Lugi - Malmö	27:29 ✺
25.02.24	Lugi - Aranäs	25:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWLLL
- Alingsås HK
Swedish Elitserien Handball
20.03.24	Alingsås - Malmö	31:25 ✺
03.03.24	Alingsås - Skövde	27:21 ✺
27.02.24	HF Karlskrona - Alingsås	23:26 ✺
20.02.24	Önnereds - Alingsås	24:23 ✺
14.02.24	Alingsås - Hallby	36:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Elitserien Handball
20.09.23	Alingsås - Lugi	29:24
15.02.23	Lugi - Alingsås	28:21
08.10.22	Alingsås - Lugi	30:28
10.03.22	Lugi - Alingsås	28:26
24.09.21	Alingsås - Lugi	28:23
27.12.20	Alingsås - Lugi	23:24
11.11.20	Lugi - Alingsås	24:25

Lugi - Alingsås: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide