Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 20

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Sparbanken Skåne Arena (Lund)


	Lugi		IFK Ystad

	1	X	2
	1.25	12	5
	1.23	9.75	5.53
	1.22	10	5
	1.21	11	5.6
	1.22	11	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↑ (1.19)	10.75 ↓ (11.5)	5.23 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugi
74.1%

Draw
8.5%

IFK Ystad
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.8%

7.8%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

IFK Ystad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Lugi - IFK Ystad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:29

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugi won 3.

Lugi is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

IFK Ystad has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

IFK Ystad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lugi is the clear favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Lugi won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 375:357. (average 26.8:25.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Lugi won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 165:164. (average 27.5:27.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	IFK Ystads	3	3	0	0	93:67	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lugi HF
Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
30.01.26	Vinslovs - Lugi	34:38 ✺
22.01.26	Torslanda - Lugi	31:31 ✺
17.01.26	Lugi - Enköping	36:28 ✺
12.01.26	Drott - Lugi	31:36 ✺
04.01.26	Lugi - Skånela	27:39 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WTWWL
- IFK Ystad HK
Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
31.01.26	IFK Ystad - Torslanda	25:25 ✺
26.01.26	Skånela - IFK Ystad	36:28 ✺
18.01.26	IFK Ystad - Varberg	26:32 ✺
30.12.25	H43 Lund - IFK Ystad	23:23 ✺
27.12.25	IFK Ystad - Aranäs	36:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
29.11.25	IFK Ystad - Lugi	23:35
24.02.25	Lugi - IFK Ystad	27:33
28.09.24	IFK Ystad - Lugi	31:29
Swedish Elitserien Handball
19.12.21	Lugi - IFK Ystad	29:27
01.12.21	IFK Ystad - Lugi	21:32
23.02.21	IFK Ystad - Lugi	28:26
27.09.20	Lugi - IFK Ystad	28:28

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