Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 17

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	IFK Ystad		Varberg

	1	X	2
	2.5	7.6	1.82
	2.49	7.06	1.8
	2.38	7.5	1.8
	2.39	8.7	1.81
	2.45	8.5	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.57)	7.87 ↓ (8)	1.79 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IFK Ystad
37.4%

Draw
11.6%

Varberg
51%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.3%

11.3%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

11.2%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IFK Ystad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Varberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Ystad than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varberg than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

IFK Ystad - Varberg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. IFK Ystad (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:29

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, IFK Ystad won 0.

IFK Ystad has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Varberg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

IFK Ystad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Varberg might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, IFK Ystad won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 361:381. (average 25.8:27.2).

Including home matches between the teams, IFK Ystad won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 181:172. (average 25.9:24.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	IFK Ystads	6	5	1	0	185:146	11
11	Varberg	6	1	2	3	169:178	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Ystad HK
Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
30.12.25	H43 Lund - IFK Ystad	23:23 ✺
27.12.25	IFK Ystad - Aranäs	36:25 ✺
13.12.25	IFK Ystad - Vinslovs	30:23 ✺
10.12.25	Enköping - IFK Ystad	24:33 ✺
04.12.25	Drott - IFK Ystad	27:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TWWWW
- HK Varberg
Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
13.01.26	Varberg - Torslanda	28:27 ✺
30.12.25	Varberg - Lugi	25:33 ✺
26.12.25	Lugi - Varberg	26:23 ✺
17.12.25	Tumba - Varberg	28:33 ✺
10.12.25	Varberg - Drott	42:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
21.09.25	Varberg - IFK Ystad	29:22
18.03.25	IFK Ystad - Varberg	28:28
18.09.24	Varberg - IFK Ystad	33:27
20.01.24	Varberg - IFK Ystad	37:29
20.10.23	IFK Ystad - Varberg	19:28
21.01.23	Varberg - IFK Ystad	31:24
05.11.22	IFK Ystad - Varberg	31:26

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Ystad HK
Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
31.10.26	IFK Ystad - Aranäs	✺
- HK Varberg
Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
31.10.26	Varberg - Tumba	✺

IFK Ystad - Varberg