Match Info

Division 1 Women - Round 20

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday


	Mérignac		Saint-Amand

	1	X	2
	2.1	8	2
	2.31	7.6	1.86
	2.32	8.12	1.86
	2.39	8	1.84
	2.31	7.6	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.09)	7.86 ↓ (8.31)	1.88 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mérignac
39.9%

Draw
11.6%

Saint-Amand
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

10.9%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

10.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mérignac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Saint-Amand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérignac than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Amand than the current prediction. (-1%)

Mérignac - Saint Amand Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:30

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mérignac won 1.

Mérignac is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Saint-Amand is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mérignac could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Mérignac won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 228:248 (average 25.3:27.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Mérignac won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 111:111 (average 27.8:27.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MHB Mérignac Handball
French Division 1 Handball Women
02.04.25	Mérignac - Dijon	38:36 ✺
22.03.25	Mérignac - Nice	33:34 ✺
16.03.25	Plan de Cuques - Mérignac	36:33 ✺
Coupe de France Handball Women
01.03.25	Toulon - Mérignac	31:30 penalties ✺
French Division 1 Handball Women
26.02.25	Mérignac - Toulon	30:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WLLLT
- HC Saint-Amand-les-Eaux Porte du Hainaut
French Division 1 Handball Women
20.04.25	Saint-Amand - Toulon	27:21 ✺
05.04.25	Plan de Cuques - Saint-Amand	27:28 ✺
02.04.25	Saint-Amand - Brest Bretagne	24:32 ✺
19.03.25	Metz - Saint-Amand	38:24 ✺
16.03.25	Saint-Amand - Paris 92	23:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Division 1 Handball Women
15.01.25	Saint-Amand - Mérignac	38:25
24.02.24	Mérignac - Saint-Amand	30:33
04.10.23	Saint-Amand - Mérignac	27:24
18.04.23	Saint-Amand - Mérignac	25:25
17.12.22	Mérignac - Saint-Amand	27:26
19.05.21	Mérignac - Saint-Amand	28:26
10.04.21	Saint-Amand - Mérignac	22:25

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