Match Info

2. Bundesliga Women - Round 23

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Mainz		Rostocker

	1	X	2
	1.21	10	5.8
	1.21	9.92	5.83	Watch
	1.25	11	5.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.31)	10.31 ↓ (11.09)	5.59 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mainz
74.8%

Draw
8.9%

Rostocker
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.3%

8.1%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

8.1%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mainz's performance.

Rostocker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rostocker might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mainz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rostocker than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rostocker could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mainz - Rostocker Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:27

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Preview

Mainz has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rostocker's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Mainz is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mainz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 37:28.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	Mainz W	5	5	0	0	166:139	10
15	Rostocker W	4	0	0	4	89:134	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mainz 05 Handball Women
German 2 Bundesliga Handball Women
28.03.26	Freiburg - Mainz	36:30 ✺
21.03.26	Kirchhof - Mainz	32:36 ✺
28.02.26	Mainz - Lintfort	37:25 ✺
21.02.26	Bergischer - Mainz	25:23 ✺
14.02.26	Mainz - Füchse Berlin	23:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LWWLL
- Rostocker HC
German 2 Bundesliga Handball Women
28.03.26	Rostocker - Lintfort	37:25 ✺
21.03.26	Bergischer - Rostocker	28:20 ✺
28.02.26	Rostocker - Füchse Berlin	20:35 ✺
21.02.26	Buchholz 08-Rosengarten - Rostocker	32:28 ✺
14.02.26	Rostocker - Nürtingen	26:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga Handball Women
08.11.25	Rostocker - Mainz	28:37

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