Match Info

European Cup Women - Semi-finals

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Pabellón José Luís Pérez Canca (Málaga)


	Malaga Costa del Sol		Mecalia Atletico Guardes

	1	X	2
	1.58	8.2	2.9
	1.64	7.75	2.78	Watch
	1.61	8.7	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.6)	8.22 ↓ (8.35)	2.85 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malaga Costa del Sol
56.8%

Draw
11.1%

Mecalia Atletico Guardes
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

11%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

11%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malaga Costa del Sol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Mecalia Atletico Guardes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malaga Costa del Sol than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mecalia Atletico Guardes than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Malaga Costa del Sol - Mecalia Atletico Guardes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:22

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Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malaga won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Malaga could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Malaga won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 506:494. (average 25.3:24.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Malaga won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 227:230. (average 25.2:25.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BF Malaga Costa del Sol
Spanish División de Honor Handball Women
14.04.26	San Jose Obrero - Malaga Costa del Sol	26:21 ✺
04.04.26	Malaga Costa del Sol - Bera Bera	25:26 ✺
01.04.26	Sporting La Rioja - Malaga Costa del Sol	21:20 ✺
EHF European Cup Women
29.03.26	Sokol Lázně Kynžvart - Malaga Costa del Sol	20:23
27.03.26	Malaga Costa del Sol - Sokol Lázně Kynžvart	33:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWW
- Mecalia Atletico Guardes
Spanish División de Honor Handball Women
15.04.26	Morvedre - Mecalia Atletico Guardes	23:23 ✺
04.04.26	Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Elda Prestigia	26:27 ✺
31.03.26	Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Rocasa Gran Canaria ACE	25:21 ✺
EHF European Cup Women
28.03.26	Elche - Mecalia Atletico Guardes	20:20 ✺
21.03.26	Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Elche	21:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish División de Honor Handball Women
22.02.26	Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Malaga Costa del Sol	19:25
25.10.25	Malaga Costa del Sol - Mecalia Atletico Guardes	23:24
05.04.25	Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Malaga Costa del Sol	23:22
20.12.24	Malaga Costa del Sol - Mecalia Atletico Guardes	21:26
09.03.24	Malaga Costa del Sol - Mecalia Atletico Guardes	35:29
01.11.23	Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Malaga Costa del Sol	27:28
15.04.23	Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Malaga Costa del Sol	27:24

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