Match Info

Handbollsligan - Play Offs - Final

Date: 29 May 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Handbollsligan Live


	Malmö		Kristianstad

	1	X	2
	1.95	7.5	2.2	Watch
	2.15	8.2	2.03
	2.12	6.78	2.12	Watch
	2	7.5	2.1
	2.06	8.8	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.8)	7.76 ↓ (8)	2.1 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 65.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malmö
44.5%

Draw
11.8%

Kristianstad
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

11.3%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

10.8%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Malmö's performance.

Kristianstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kristianstad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Malmö that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kristianstad than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kristianstad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Malmö - Kristianstad Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Kristianstad will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:34

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Preview

Kristianstad leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 1.

Malmö has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kristianstad is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 547:622. (average 27.4:31.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Malmö won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 266:285. (average 26.6:28.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Kristianstad	3	3	0	0	91:82	6
6	Malmo	4	2	0	2	124:124	4

Last Results with these Odds

Kristianstad - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 56.45%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Malmö
Swedish Elitserien Handball
26.05.26	Kristianstad - Malmö	34:29 ✺
23.05.26	Malmö - Kristianstad	42:35 ✺
20.05.26	Kristianstad - Malmö	39:34 ✺
03.05.26	Malmö - Sävehof	37:34 ✺
29.04.26	Sävehof - Malmö	27:39 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWLWW
- IFK Kristianstad
Swedish Elitserien Handball
26.05.26	Kristianstad - Malmö	34:29 ✺
23.05.26	Malmö - Kristianstad	42:35 ✺
20.05.26	Kristianstad - Malmö	39:34 ✺
08.05.26	Kristianstad - Alingsås	32:27 ✺
06.05.26	Alingsås - Kristianstad	33:36 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Elitserien Handball
26.05.26	Kristianstad - Malmö	34:29
23.05.26	Malmö - Kristianstad	42:35
20.05.26	Kristianstad - Malmö	39:34
13.02.26	Malmö - Kristianstad	29:33
19.12.25	Kristianstad - Malmö	40:28
14.02.25	Kristianstad - Malmö	29:34
13.11.24	Malmö - Kristianstad	26:36

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