Match Info

SLOVENIA: 1. NLB LIGA - ROUND 25

Date: 19 May 2023, Friday


	Maribor Branik		Slovenj Gradec

	1	X	2
	2	8	2.1
	1.95	8	2.15
	1.89	8.8	2.22
	1.94	8.2	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.2)	8.25 ↓ (8.4)	2.16 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maribor Branik
46.8%

Draw
11%

Slovenj Gradec
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

10.8%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

10.9%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maribor Branik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maribor Branik's performance.

Slovenj Gradec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Slovenj Gradec might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maribor Branik than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maribor Branik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slovenj Gradec than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Slovenj Gradec could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Maribor Branik - Slovenj Gradec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:29

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Maribor Branik won 2.

Maribor Branik is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Slovenj Gradec is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Maribor Branik won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 247-256.

Including matches at home between the teams Maribor Branik won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 118-119.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maribor Branik
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
12.05.23	Celje Pivovarna Laško - Maribor Branik	36:29 ✺
21.04.23	Maribor Branik - Krško	27:27 ✺
14.04.23	Maribor Branik - Ribnica	33:33 ✺
08.04.23	Ivančna Gorica - Maribor Branik	30:26 ✺
31.03.23	Maribor Branik - Škofja Loka	28:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTTLL
- RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
13.05.23	Slovenj Gradec - Ribnica	25:34 ✺
22.04.23	Ivančna Gorica - Slovenj Gradec	35:31 ✺
15.04.23	Slovenj Gradec - Škofja Loka	27:26 ✺
07.04.23	Trimo Trebnje - Slovenj Gradec	37:27 ✺
01.04.23	Slovenj Gradec - Dobova	25:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
10.12.22	Slovenj Gradec - Maribor Branik	26:23
26.02.22	Maribor Branik - Slovenj Gradec	28:24
25.09.21	Slovenj Gradec - Maribor Branik	29:22
27.02.21	Slovenj Gradec - Maribor Branik	25:31
02.10.20	Maribor Branik - Slovenj Gradec	26:30
14.02.20	Slovenj Gradec - Maribor Branik	29:25
19.10.19	Maribor Branik - Slovenj Gradec	29:31

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