Match Info

Extraliga - 5th-8th places - 5th place

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday


	Mesto Lovosice		Brno

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.27	11	4.5
	1.3	8.03	4.71	Watch
	1.3	10	4
	1.3	10.7	4.49
	1.4	8	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.4)	9.55 ↑ (8)	4.27 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mesto Lovosice
69.2%

Draw
9.5%

Brno
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

11.2%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

11.3%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mesto Lovosice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Brno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mesto Lovosice than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mesto Lovosice that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brno than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Mesto Lovosice - Brno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:29

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Preview

First leg result: 31-36. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mesto Lovosice won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Mesto Lovosice is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mesto Lovosice won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 589:571. (average 29.5:28.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Mesto Lovosice won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 291:246. (average 32.3:27.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
6	Lovosice	5	2	1	2	159:149	5
8	Brno	5	2	0	3	133:150	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Mesto Lovosice
Czech Extraliga Handball
24.04.26	Brno - Mesto Lovosice	36:31 ✺
18.04.26	Mesto Lovosice - Frýdek-Místek	27:22 ✺
12.04.26	Frýdek-Místek - Mesto Lovosice	31:36 ✺
08.04.26	Zubri - Mesto Lovosice	30:25 ✺
05.04.26	Mesto Lovosice - Zubri	36:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWWLW
- KP Brno Handball
Czech Extraliga Handball
24.04.26	Brno - Mesto Lovosice	36:31 ✺
17.04.26	Brno - Házená Nové Veselí	28:26 ✺
10.04.26	Házená Nové Veselí - Brno	32:33 ✺
04.04.26	Brno - Dukla Praha	31:32 ✺
29.03.26	Dukla Praha - Brno	30:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Czech Extraliga Handball
24.04.26	Brno - Mesto Lovosice	36:31
14.03.26	Mesto Lovosice - Brno	38:22
18.11.25	Brno - Mesto Lovosice	37:23
29.03.25	Mesto Lovosice - Brno	38:23
23.03.25	Brno - Mesto Lovosice	26:30
22.03.25	Brno - Mesto Lovosice	34:35 penalties
21.12.24	Mesto Lovosice - Brno	33:23

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