Match Info

EUROPE: European Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Sports Hall Zorka (Sabac)


	Metaloplastika Šabac		Krka

	1	X	2
	1.85	8.5	2.35
	1.78	8.5	2.4
	1.94	8.4	2.14
	1.87	8.67	2.38
	1.8	8	2.38
	1.87	8.5	2.35
	1.94	8.4	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.52)	8.42 ↓ (8.5)	2.31 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metaloplastika Šabac
49.3%

Draw
10.9%

Krka
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

10.7%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

11.2%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metaloplastika Šabac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metaloplastika Šabac's form might have worsened.

Krka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Krka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metaloplastika Šabac than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metaloplastika Šabac, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krka than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Krka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Metaloplastika Šabac - Krka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:29

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Lineups


4. Alilovic D.	4. Avsec J.
16. Arsic D.	88. Blazevic J.
58. Dakic M.	5. Cirar B.
17. Damjanovic A.	45. Derganc M.
77. Djukic B.	14. Gliha M.
2. Dodic M.	33. Kukman T.
13. Gavashelashvili M.	32. Lavric A.
14. Jevtic L.	41. Matko K.
12. Marjanovic D.	25. Nikolic M.
10. Milovanovic F.	23. Raso D.
11. Milovanovic I.	11. Raso L.
9. Mirkovic B.	17. Scuka J.
33. Papovic M.	22. Stanojevic V.
18. Pavlovic U.	20. Stanojlovic L.
34. Petrovic K.	21. Vukic V.
44. Simic U.	24. Zajc N.

Preview

1st leg.

Metaloplastika is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Krka is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Metaloplastika could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Krka have a series of home games.

In this match Metaloplastika is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RK Metaloplastika Šabac
Serbian Superliga Handball
16.10.24	Dinamo Pančevo - Metaloplastika Šabac	27:24 ✺
11.10.24	Partizan Beograd - Metaloplastika Šabac	28:22 ✺
05.10.24	Metaloplastika Šabac - Vranje	34:21 ✺
28.09.24	Crvena Zvezda - Metaloplastika Šabac	32:30 ✺
22.09.24	Metaloplastika Šabac - RK Vojvodina	24:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLWLL
- MRK Krka
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
15.10.24	Krka - Slovan Ljubljana	26:29 ✺
11.10.24	Slovenj Gradec - Krka	27:31 ✺
05.10.24	Krka - Ivančna Gorica	26:20 ✺
28.09.24	Krka - Celje Pivovarna Laško	30:31 ✺
21.09.24	Krka - Gorenje Velenje	28:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWWLL

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