Match Info

1. NLB Liga - Round 17

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Slovenj Gradec		Krka

	1	X	2
	1.7	7.4	2.65
	1.7	7.27	2.64	Watch
	1.67	7.5	2.63
	1.7	8.9	2.6
	1.66	8	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.68)	7.81 ↓ (8)	2.62 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Slovenj Gradec
53.8%

Draw
11.6%

Krka
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

11.3%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

10.6%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slovenj Gradec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Krka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slovenj Gradec than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krka than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Slovenj Gradec - Krka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:28

#ad

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slovenj Gradec won 1.

In recent matches, Slovenj Gradec has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Krka is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Krka has had a series of home games.

Slovenj Gradec might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Slovenj Gradec won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 373:414. (average 26.6:29.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Slovenj Gradec won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 153:176. (average 25.5:29.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
17.12.25	Ribnica - Slovenj Gradec	30:30 ✺
13.12.25	Slovenj Gradec - Gorenje Velenje	26:30 ✺
06.12.25	Celje Pivovarna Laško - Slovenj Gradec	37:36 ✺
29.11.25	Slovenj Gradec - Jeruzalem Ormož	33:27 ✺
22.11.25	Škofljica - Slovenj Gradec	28:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLWW
- MRK Krka
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
17.12.25	Krka - Škofja Loka	26:26 ✺
13.12.25	Krka - Ivančna Gorica	27:23 ✺
06.12.25	Radovljica - Krka	32:26 ✺
29.11.25	Krka - Ribnica	29:30 ✺
26.11.25	Krka - Trimo Trebnje	29:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
04.10.25	Krka - Slovenj Gradec	28:27
24.05.25	Krka - Slovenj Gradec	33:24
17.05.25	Slovenj Gradec - Krka	27:26
08.02.25	Krka - Slovenj Gradec	32:28
11.10.24	Slovenj Gradec - Krka	27:31
18.05.24	Krka - Slovenj Gradec	31:26
Slovenian Cup Handball
05.04.24	Krka - Slovenj Gradec	25:34

Upcoming Matches