Match Info

Date: 22 September 2020, Tuesday


	Metalurg Skopje		HC Kriens-Luzern

	1	X	2
	1.3	12	4
	1.35	10.5	4.1
	1.3	10	3.85
	1.36	10	3.75
	1.33	11.75	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.36)	10.85 ↑ (10)	3.96 ↑ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metalurg Skopje
68.6%

Draw
8.4%

HC Kriens-Luzern
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

9.1%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

7.6%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metalurg Skopje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

HC Kriens-Luzern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metalurg Skopje than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metalurg Skopje that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HC Kriens-Luzern than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HC Kriens-Luzern could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	5.9%	82.4%

Metalurg Skopje - HC Kriens Luzern Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Metalurg Skopje will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). HC Kriens will win (votes: 14 - 82.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for HC Kriens: 64.3% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:26

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Preview

1st leg.

Metalurg Skopje is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

HC Kriens in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Metalurg Skopje could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Metalurg Skopje is a favorite.

HC Kriens in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RK Metalurg Skopje
North Macedonian Superleague Handball
14.09.20	Prilep - Metalurg Skopje	21:28 ✺
11.09.20	Metalurg Skopje - Eurofarm Pelister 2	25:21 ✺
EHF European League
05.09.20	Spačva Vinkovci - Metalurg Skopje	29:25 ✺
29.08.20	Metalurg Skopje - Spačva Vinkovci	35:28 ✺
Club Friendly Hanbdall
16.08.20	Ohrid - Metalurg Skopje	25:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLWW
- HC Kriens-Luzern
Swiss NLA Handball
19.09.20	RTV Basel - HC Kriens-Luzern	23:34 ✺
13.09.20	HC Kriens-Luzern - Amicitia Zurich	29:29 ✺
10.09.20	Bern Muri - HC Kriens-Luzern	29:30 ✺
EHF European League
05.09.20	Dubrava - HC Kriens-Luzern	19:28 ✺
Swiss NLA Handball
02.09.20	HC Kriens-Luzern - Wacker Thun	30:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTWWW

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