Match Info

NLA - Round 14

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Bern Muri		HC Kriens-Luzern

	1	X	2
	1.95	8.5	2.1
	2	7.8	2.11
	2.32	6.67	1.91	Watch
	2.04	8.7	2.05
	1.83	8.43	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.42)	8.02 ↑ (7.39)	2.07 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 65.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bern Muri
44.8%

Draw
11.3%

HC Kriens-Luzern
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

12.4%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

12.2%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bern Muri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bern Muri's performance.

HC Kriens-Luzern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and HC Kriens-Luzern might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bern Muri than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bern Muri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HC Kriens-Luzern than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HC Kriens-Luzern could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bern Muri - HC Kriens Luzern Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. HC Kriens (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:34

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bern won 4.

Recent performances by Bern have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

HC Kriens is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bern won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 14 matches, and goals 606:646. (average 30.3:32.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Bern won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 255:262. (average 31.9:32.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BSV Bern Muri
EHF European League
18.11.25	THW Kiel - Bern Muri	37:27 ✺
Swiss NLA Handball
15.11.25	RTV Basel - Bern Muri	27:24 ✺
EHF European League
11.11.25	Bern Muri - THW Kiel	27:35 ✺
Swiss NLA Handball
05.11.25	Bern Muri - Amicitia Zurich	28:25 ✺
25.10.25	Bern Muri - Wacker Thun	33:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWW
- HC Kriens-Luzern
EHF European League
18.11.25	Fram - HC Kriens-Luzern	31:35 ✺
Swiss NLA Handball
15.11.25	HC Kriens-Luzern - Wacker Thun	37:27 ✺
EHF European League
11.11.25	HC Kriens-Luzern - Fram	40:25 ✺
Swiss NLA Handball
05.11.25	Kadetten Schaffhausen - HC Kriens-Luzern	35:32 ✺
25.10.25	HC Kriens-Luzern - Suhr Aarau	38:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss NLA Handball
01.05.25	Bern Muri - HC Kriens-Luzern	36:34
26.04.25	HC Kriens-Luzern - Bern Muri	29:23
24.04.25	Bern Muri - HC Kriens-Luzern	39:34
19.04.25	HC Kriens-Luzern - Bern Muri	37:38
22.03.25	Bern Muri - HC Kriens-Luzern	34:32
Schweizer Cup Handball
23.12.24	HC Kriens-Luzern - Bern Muri	33:32
Swiss NLA Handball
02.11.24	HC Kriens-Luzern - Bern Muri	30:29

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