Match Info

Premijer liga - Relegation Group - Round 8

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Metković		Varazdin

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Metković
67.1%

Draw
13.6%

Varazdin
19.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55%

33.6%

11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

31.2%

10.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metković has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Metković's performance.

Varazdin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varazdin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metković than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metković that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varazdin than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varazdin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Metković is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Metković won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 116:115. (average 29:28.8).

Including home match between the teams, Metković won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 28:25.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RK Metković
Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
11.04.26	Medjimurje - Metković	29:27 ✺
28.03.26	Metković - Rudar Rude	24:27 ✺
14.03.26	Umag - Metković	27:28 ✺
07.03.26	Metković - Spačva Vinkovci	35:32 ✺
01.03.26	Varazdin - Metković	25:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.8 LLWWW
- GRK Varazdin 1930
Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
11.04.26	Varazdin - Porec	28:17 ✺
28.03.26	Moslavina - Varazdin	30:26 ✺
14.03.26	Varazdin - Zamet	34:29 ✺
07.03.26	Osijek - Varazdin	32:26 ✺
01.03.26	Varazdin - Metković	25:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLWLL

Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
01.03.26	Varazdin - Metković	25:26
13.04.25	Varazdin - Metković	27:27
03.12.22	Metković - Varazdin	28:25
08.10.22	Varazdin - Metković	38:35

Metković - Varazdin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide