Match Info

Division 1 Women - Round 5

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: Arenes de Metz (Metz)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports 3


	Metz		Brest Bretagne

	1	X	2
	1.15	14.00	6.50
	1.24	10	5
	1.19	10.5	5.8	Watch
	1.17	13	6.57
	1.13	15	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.43)	12.5 ↑ (10.17)	5.93 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metz
77.4%

Draw
7.3%

Brest Bretagne
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4%

8.5%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Metz's performance.

Brest Bretagne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brest Bretagne might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metz than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest Bretagne than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brest Bretagne could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Metz - Brest Bretagne Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Metz (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:27

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metz won 4.

Metz arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Brest Bretagne shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Brest Bretagne may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The betting markets point to Metz as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Metz has recorded 15 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 546:502 (averaging 27.3:25.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Metz against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 253:227 goals (averaging 28.1:25.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	Metz W	5	5	0	0	194:121	15
6	Brest Bretagne W	5	3	0	2	155:137	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metz Handball
EHF Champions League Women
03.10.26	Metz - Nykøbing	36:25 ✺
19.09.26	Podravka Koprivnica - Metz	24:35 ✺
French Division 1 Handball Women
16.09.26	Toulon - Metz	28:43 ✺
EHF Champions League Women
13.09.26	Metz - Gloria Bistrița	40:26 ✺
French Division 1 Handball Women
09.09.26	Metz - Nice	41:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWW
- Brest Bretagne Handball
EHF Champions League Women
04.10.26	Brest Bretagne - RK Krim	28:25 ✺
20.09.26	Budućnost - Brest Bretagne	22:27 ✺
French Division 1 Handball Women
16.09.26	Brest Bretagne - Paris 92	37:24 ✺
EHF Champions League Women
12.09.26	Brest Bretagne - BVB Dortmund	34:24 ✺
French Division 1 Handball Women
09.09.26	Plan de Cuques - Brest Bretagne	27:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Division 1 Handball Women
03.05.26	Metz - Brest Bretagne	32:28
14.01.26	Brest Bretagne - Metz	27:23
11.05.25	Brest Bretagne - Metz	30:31
EHF Champions League Women
27.04.25	Metz - Brest Bretagne	33:32
19.04.25	Brest Bretagne - Metz	26:29
Coupe de France Handball Women
05.04.25	Brest Bretagne - Metz	31:34
French Division 1 Handball Women
12.02.25	Metz - Brest Bretagne	23:22

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