Match Info

1. Bundesliga Women - Play Out - Round 5

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Metzingen		Neckarsulmer

	1	X	2
	1.57	8.6	2.9
	1.48	7.66	3.32	Watch
	1.57	8.5	2.75
	1.53	9.2	3.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (2.03)	8.49 ↑ (6.74)	3.02 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metzingen
59.1%

Draw
10.7%

Neckarsulmer
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

13.4%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

12.8%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metzingen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Metzingen's performance.

Neckarsulmer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Neckarsulmer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metzingen than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metzingen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neckarsulmer than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Neckarsulmer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Metzingen - Neckarsulmer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:30

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metzingen won 3.

Metzingen is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Neckarsulmer is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Neckarsulmer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Metzingen won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 636:530. (average 31.8:26.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Metzingen won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 253:208. (average 31.6:26).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
5	Metzingen W	5	3	0	2	154:157	6
10	Neckarsulmer W	5	1	0	4	135:153	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TuS Metzingen
German 1 Bundesliga Handball Women
02.05.26	Sachsen Zwickau - Metzingen	27:32 ✺
25.04.26	Metzingen - Frisch Auf Göppingen	29:33 ✺
18.04.26	Buxtehuder - Metzingen	28:29 ✺
04.04.26	Oldenburg - Metzingen	30:37 ✺
28.03.26	Metzingen - Frisch Auf Göppingen	34:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLWWW
- Neckarsulmer Sport-Union Handball Women
German 1 Bundesliga Handball Women
09.05.26	Neckarsulmer - Sachsen Zwickau	31:37 ✺
03.05.26	Frisch Auf Göppingen - Neckarsulmer	33:33 ✺
25.04.26	Neckarsulmer - Buxtehuder	24:32 ✺
18.04.26	Union Halle-Neustadt - Neckarsulmer	30:34 ✺
29.03.26	Sachsen Zwickau - Neckarsulmer	28:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

German 1 Bundesliga Handball Women
21.03.26	Neckarsulmer - Metzingen	38:28
27.12.25	Metzingen - Neckarsulmer	30:29
02.04.25	Neckarsulmer - Metzingen	30:25
29.12.24	Metzingen - Neckarsulmer	30:25
03.02.24	Metzingen - Neckarsulmer	28:23
09.09.23	Neckarsulmer - Metzingen	20:34
06.05.23	Neckarsulmer - Metzingen	24:35

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