Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 7

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Morrazo Cangas		Naturhouse La Rioja

	1	X	2
	3.3	8.5	1.55	Watch
	3	9.4	1.51
	3.00	9.09	1.48	Watch
	2.88	9.4	1.57	Watch
	3.25	9	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.85)	9.08 ↑ (8.65)	1.53 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morrazo Cangas
29.8%

Draw
10.1%

Naturhouse La Rioja
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

10.7%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

10.4%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morrazo Cangas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Naturhouse La Rioja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morrazo Cangas than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naturhouse La Rioja than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Morrazo Cangas - Naturhouse La Rioja Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. La Rioja (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Naturhouse La Rioja will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:32

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Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cangas won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Cangas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, La Rioja is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cangas won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 16 matches, and goals 518:616. (average 25.9:30.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Cangas won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 268:288. (average 26.8:28.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morrazo Cangas
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
18.10.25	Torrelavega - Morrazo Cangas	28:30 ✺
11.10.25	Morrazo Cangas - Quabit Guadalajara	29:34 ✺
04.10.25	Barcelona - Morrazo Cangas	42:31 ✺
27.09.25	Morrazo Cangas - BM Huesca	32:27 ✺
19.09.25	Nava - Morrazo Cangas	34:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLLWL
- Naturhouse La Rioja Logrono
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
19.10.25	Naturhouse La Rioja - Villa de Aranda	42:30 ✺
12.10.25	Atlético Valladolid - Naturhouse La Rioja	27:34 ✺
03.10.25	Naturhouse La Rioja - EÓN Alicante	33:29 ✺
26.09.25	BM Ciudad Encantada - Naturhouse La Rioja	29:28 ✺
21.09.25	Torrelavega - Naturhouse La Rioja	29:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
14.02.25	Naturhouse La Rioja - Morrazo Cangas	33:28
22.09.24	Morrazo Cangas - Naturhouse La Rioja	29:30
03.02.24	Naturhouse La Rioja - Morrazo Cangas	32:27
10.09.23	Morrazo Cangas - Naturhouse La Rioja	29:32
Spanish Copa del Rey Handball
05.05.23	Naturhouse La Rioja - Morrazo Cangas	31:18
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
05.04.23	Naturhouse La Rioja - Morrazo Cangas	34:28
29.10.22	Morrazo Cangas - Naturhouse La Rioja	22:27

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