Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 6

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Naturhouse La Rioja		Villa de Aranda

	1	X	2
	1.3	11	5.5	Watch
	1.25	11	4.7
				Watch
	1.23	12.2	5.11	Watch
	1.23	13	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.3)	11.8 ↑ (9.73)	5.2 ↑ (4.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naturhouse La Rioja
74.2%

Draw
7.9%

Villa de Aranda
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.9%

9.5%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naturhouse La Rioja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Villa de Aranda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Naturhouse La Rioja - Villa de Aranda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:28

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Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Rioja won 3.

La Rioja has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

La Rioja may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, La Rioja is the clear favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, La Rioja won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 394:367. (average 28.1:26.2).

Including home matches between the teams, La Rioja won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 203:173. (average 29:24.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naturhouse La Rioja Logrono
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
12.10.25	Atlético Valladolid - Naturhouse La Rioja	27:34 ✺
03.10.25	Naturhouse La Rioja - EÓN Alicante	33:29 ✺
26.09.25	BM Ciudad Encantada - Naturhouse La Rioja	29:28 ✺
21.09.25	Torrelavega - Naturhouse La Rioja	29:25 ✺
13.09.25	Naturhouse La Rioja - Quabit Guadalajara	34:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLLW
- Villa de Aranda
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
11.10.25	Villa de Aranda - Torrelavega	31:34 ✺
05.10.25	Quabit Guadalajara - Villa de Aranda	27:30 ✺
20.09.25	BM Huesca - Villa de Aranda	28:25 ✺
14.09.25	Villa de Aranda - Nava	29:25 ✺
01.06.25	Villa de Aranda - BM Huesca	28:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
27.04.25	Naturhouse La Rioja - Villa de Aranda	36:30
30.11.24	Villa de Aranda - Naturhouse La Rioja	32:27
03.04.21	Naturhouse La Rioja - Villa de Aranda	27:23
17.10.20	Villa de Aranda - Naturhouse La Rioja	21:25
13.05.17	Villa de Aranda - Naturhouse La Rioja	30:25
30.11.16	Naturhouse La Rioja - Villa de Aranda	29:28
14.05.16	Naturhouse La Rioja - Villa de Aranda	40:27

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