Match Info

Proligue - Round 28

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday


	Nancy		Caen

	1	X	2
	1.8	8	2.4
	1.83	7.8	2.36
	1.82	8.73	2.44	Watch
	1.8	8	2.38
	1.86	7.9	2.33	Watch
	1.83	7.8	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 (1.82)	8.04 ↓ (8.5)	2.38 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nancy
50.2%

Draw
11.4%

Caen
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

10.9%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

11%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nancy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Caen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Caen aligns with the current prediction.

Nancy - Caen Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 62.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:32

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Preview

Recent matches Nancy is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Caen is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Caen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nancy won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 135:148 (average 27:29.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Nancy won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 59:57 (average 29.5:28.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nancy MHB
French Proligue Handball
18.04.25	Pau Billère - Nancy	42:30 ✺
11.04.25	Nancy - Pontault-Combault	30:30 ✺
08.04.25	Nancy - Angers	36:25 ✺
04.04.25	Dijon - Nancy	38:34 ✺
28.03.25	Cournon dAuvergne - Nancy	34:42 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTWLW
- Caen Handball
French Proligue Handball
11.04.25	Selestat AHB - Caen	30:24 ✺
08.04.25	Caen - Pau Billère	31:39 ✺
04.04.25	Caen - Cournon dAuvergne	28:24 ✺
29.03.25	Sarrebourg - Caen	37:36 ✺
21.03.25	Caen - Pontault-Combault	26:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Proligue Handball
11.10.24	Caen - Nancy	29:28
11.02.24	Caen - Nancy	27:21
20.10.23	Nancy - Caen	28:22
10.02.23	Caen - Nancy	35:27
22.09.22	Nancy - Caen	31:35

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