Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 27

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	Nava		Torrelavega

	1	X	2
	3.5	8.5	1.5
	3.5	11	1.42
	3.35	9.6	1.44
	3.74	7.97	1.43	Watch
	3.25	8.5	1.44
	3.43	9.6	1.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↓ (3.48)	9.2 ↓ (9.77)	1.45 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nava
26.5%

Draw
10%

Torrelavega
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

9.3%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

9.6%

62.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Torrelavega has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nava than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torrelavega than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Nava - Torrelavega Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Torrelavega will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:31

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ European League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nava won 1.

Recent form of Nava has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Torrelavega is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Torrelavega is a strong favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Nava won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 358:379. (average 27.5:29.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Nava won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 176:182. (average 29.3:30.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
6	Torrelavega	4	3	0	1	125:100	6
16	Nava	4	0	0	4	111:141	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BM Nava
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
26.04.26	Quabit Guadalajara - Nava	26:33 ✺
17.04.26	Nava - Barcelona	24:42 ✺
12.04.26	BM Huesca - Nava	25:24 ✺
05.04.26	BM Ciudad Encantada - Nava	33:32 ✺
29.03.26	Nava - Reale Ademar	28:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLLL
- BM Torrelavega
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
26.04.26	Torrelavega - Reale Ademar	40:33 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey Handball
22.04.26	Anaitasuna - Torrelavega	30:31 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
18.04.26	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Torrelavega	26:25 ✺
11.04.26	Torrelavega - Caserio Ciudad Real	35:28 ✺
04.04.26	Bidasoa Irun - Torrelavega	34:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
07.12.25	Torrelavega - Nava	28:25
18.04.25	Torrelavega - Nava	28:24
23.11.24	Nava - Torrelavega	28:29
Spanish Copa del Rey Handball
10.04.24	Nava - Torrelavega	36:41
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
06.04.24	Nava - Torrelavega	34:33
08.11.23	Torrelavega - Nava	33:26
01.05.22	Nava - Torrelavega	26:26

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