Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 12

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday


	Nettelstedt-Lübbecke		Ferndorf

	1	X	2
	1.84	8.4	2.29
	1.84	6.67	2.34	Watch
	1.96	9.1	2.11
	1.91	8	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.64)	8.04 ↓ (8.08)	2.21 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nettelstedt-Lübbecke
47.9%

Draw
11.2%

Ferndorf
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

11.3%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

11%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nettelstedt-Lübbecke has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nettelstedt-Lübbecke's form might have worsened.

Ferndorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ferndorf's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nettelstedt-Lübbecke than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nettelstedt-Lübbecke, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferndorf than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferndorf, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nettelstedt Lübbecke - Ferndorf Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:27

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lübbecke won 3.

Lübbecke is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ferndorf's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Lübbecke won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 259:245. (average 25.9:24.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Lübbecke won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 136:119. (average 27.2:23.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TuS Nettelstedt-Lübbecke
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
15.11.25	TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen - Nettelstedt-Lübbecke	27:25 ✺
09.11.25	Nettelstedt-Lübbecke - Nordhorn-Lingen	25:28 ✺
25.10.25	HSC 2000 Coburg - Nettelstedt-Lübbecke	30:28 ✺
17.10.25	Dessau-Roßlauer - Nettelstedt-Lübbecke	35:29 ✺
10.10.25	Nettelstedt-Lübbecke - Lübeck-Schwartau	28:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- TuS Ferndorf
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
14.11.25	Ferndorf - Lübeck-Schwartau	27:28 ✺
09.11.25	Elbflorenz - Ferndorf	33:33 ✺
25.10.25	Ferndorf - Potsdam	30:23 ✺
19.10.25	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten - Ferndorf	35:31 ✺
10.10.25	Ferndorf - Bietigheim	26:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga Handball
08.03.25	Nettelstedt-Lübbecke - Ferndorf	27:24
05.10.24	Ferndorf - Nettelstedt-Lübbecke	32:26
26.06.21	Nettelstedt-Lübbecke - Ferndorf	33:27
17.02.21	Ferndorf - Nettelstedt-Lübbecke	24:30
29.02.20	Ferndorf - Nettelstedt-Lübbecke	23:21
28.09.19	Nettelstedt-Lübbecke - Ferndorf	21:24
20.04.19	Nettelstedt-Lübbecke - Ferndorf	27:24

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