Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN LEAGUE - ROUND 3

Date: 22 November 2022, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Nexe		Sporting Lisbon

	1	X	2
	1.5	8.5	3.2	Watch
	1.44	11	3.4
	1.44	9.5	3.5
	1.46	9	3.25
	1.4	9	3.25
	1.53	9.3	3.18	Watch
	1.47	9.2	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.61)	9.36 ↑ (8)	3.3 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nexe
62.5%

Draw
9.8%

Sporting Lisbon
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

11.3%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

11.1%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nexe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nexe's performance.

Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nexe than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	6.2%	0%

Nexe - Sporting Lisbon Predictions

Users Predictions: Nexe will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:29

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Preview

Nexe in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Sporting is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nexe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nexe is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Nexe to win the game is with odds 1.42.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RK Nexe
Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
18.11.22	Nexe - Varazdin	41:28 ✺
16.11.22	Nexe - Dubrava	38:20 ✺
13.11.22	Gorica - Nexe	24:41 ✺
05.11.22	Metković - Nexe	26:36 ✺
EHF European League
01.11.22	Nexe - Balatonfüredi KSE	37:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWWW
- Sporting Lisbon Handball
Portuguese Andebol 1
19.11.22	ABC Braga - Sporting Lisbon	23:25 ✺
12.11.22	Sporting Lisbon - Póvoa	31:22 ✺
05.11.22	Santo Tirso - Sporting Lisbon	23:34 ✺
EHF European League
01.11.22	BM Granollers - Sporting Lisbon	32:29 ✺
Portuguese Andebol 1
29.10.22	Sporting Lisbon - Académico de Viseu	39:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWWLW

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