Match Info

European League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 April 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Viaplay
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch
Hungary	Sport 1
Norway	Viaplay
Romania	Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1


	Nexe		THW Kiel

	1	X	2
	3.8	9	1.37	Watch
	3.85	10	1.35
	4.17	8.22	1.36	Watch
	3.75	9	1.36
	3.75	9.8	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↓ (4.87)	9.2 ↓ (10.2)	1.37 ↑ (1.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nexe
23.6%

Draw
9.9%

THW Kiel
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.3%

8.7%

73%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nexe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nexe's performance.

THW Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and THW Kiel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Nexe - THW Kiel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:32

#ad

Lineups


4. Bakic A.	48. Abdelhak M.
21. Barbic I.	22. Ankermann R.
11. Barisic P.	53. Bilyk N.
33. Cenic A.	23. Dahmke R.
34. Cenic O.	4. Duvnjak D.
8. Haseljic I.	21. Johansson E.
75. Jastrzebski M.	7. Landin M.
44. Kozina K.	20. Laube L.
24. Kuze T.	93. Nacinovic V.
41. Lucin T.	11. Overby P.
20. Manci B.	61. Pekeler H.
27. Moslavac L.	1. Perez de Vargas G.
17. Moslavac M.	6. Reinkind H.
25. Pesic Z.	29. Rohwer J.
16. Radovanovic M.	33. Wolff A.
39. Vucko L.	24. Zerbe L.

Preview

First leg.

Nexe has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Kiel has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kiel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kiel is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nexe won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 54:66. (average 27:33).

Including home match between the teams, Nexe won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 26:35.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RK Nexe
Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
25.04.26	Nexe - Dugo Selo	27:26 ✺
18.04.26	Nexe - Sesvete	42:30 ✺
11.04.26	Trogir - Nexe	28:39 ✺
EHF European League
07.04.26	Nexe - Kristianstad	32:27 ✺
31.03.26	Kristianstad - Nexe	34:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWW
- THW Kiel
German Bundesliga Handball
25.04.26	THW Kiel - SC DHfK Leipzig	28:28 ✺
12.04.26	HSV Hamburg - THW Kiel	27:34 ✺
04.04.26	THW Kiel - Eisenach	30:30 ✺
27.03.26	MT Melsungen - THW Kiel	30:29 ✺
14.03.26	THW Kiel - Flensburg-Handewitt	37:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

EHF European League
29.10.24	THW Kiel - Nexe	31:28
22.10.24	Nexe - THW Kiel	26:35

Upcoming Matches