Match Info

SPAIN: DIVISION DE HONOR PLATA - ROUND 20

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday


	Oviedo		Villa de Aranda

	1	X	2
	1.89	7.8	2.33
	1.92	8	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.62)	7.9 ↓ (8)	2.34 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 51.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oviedo
48.7%

Draw
11.7%

Villa de Aranda
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

11.4%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

11.7%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oviedo's form might have worsened.

Villa de Aranda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villa de Aranda's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oviedo than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oviedo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa de Aranda than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villa de Aranda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Oviedo - Villa de Aranda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:27

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Oviedo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 69-89.

Including matches at home between the teams Oviedo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 27-30.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Balonmano Base Oviedo
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
10.02.24	Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga - Oviedo	26:29 ✺
03.02.24	Oviedo - Zamora	22:20 ✺
27.01.24	Agustinos Alicante - Oviedo	29:24 ✺
13.01.24	Oviedo - Barcelona II	32:36 ✺
17.12.23	Burgos - Oviedo	29:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLLL
- Villa de Aranda
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
11.02.24	Villa de Aranda - Quabit Guadalajara	29:30 ✺
03.02.24	Antequera - Villa de Aranda	27:21 ✺
27.01.24	Villa de Aranda - EÓN Alicante	29:22 ✺
20.01.24	Mallorca - Villa de Aranda	21:29 ✺
13.01.24	Eivissa - Villa de Aranda	26:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
14.10.23	Villa de Aranda - Oviedo	25:24
25.02.23	Villa de Aranda - Oviedo	34:18
19.11.22	Oviedo - Villa de Aranda	27:30

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