Match Info

A1 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 23 April 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	ERT 2


	PAOK		AEK Athens

	1	X	2
	2.11	8.8	1.96
	2.38	6.94	1.87	Watch
	2.1	8	1.91
	2.28	8.7	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.02)	8.11 ↓ (11.1)	1.91 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PAOK
41%

Draw
11.2%

AEK Athens
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

8.2%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

8.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

PAOK - AEK Athens Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. AEK will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:31

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Preview

AEK Athens leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PAOK won 1.

Recent performances by PAOK have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

AEK is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PAOK won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 510:603. (average 25.5:30.2).

Including home matches between the teams, PAOK won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 208:241. (average 26:30.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	AEK Athens	4	4	0	0	130:101	8
10	PAOK	3	1	0	2	93:78	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PAOK HC
Greek A1 Handball
20.04.26	AEK Athens - PAOK	37:31 ✺
30.03.26	Drama - PAOK	36:33 ✺
12.03.26	PAOK - Feronas Veroias	35:27 ✺
09.03.26	AEK Athens - PAOK	28:28 ✺
04.03.26	PAOK - Athinaikos	39:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWTW
- AEK Athens HC
Greek A1 Handball
20.04.26	AEK Athens - PAOK	37:31 ✺
11.03.26	Vrilissia - AEK Athens	34:36 ✺
09.03.26	AEK Athens - PAOK	28:28 ✺
04.03.26	Olympiacos - AEK Athens	32:26 ✺
28.02.26	AEK Athens - Drama	36:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Greek A1 Handball
20.04.26	AEK Athens - PAOK	37:31
09.03.26	AEK Athens - PAOK	28:28
Greek Cup Handball
21.12.25	AEK Athens - PAOK	26:25
Greek A1 Handball
19.11.25	PAOK - AEK Athens	29:27
25.01.25	PAOK - AEK Athens	27:35
28.09.24	AEK Athens - PAOK	32:21
19.05.24	PAOK - AEK Athens	23:26

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