Match Info

A1 - Round 2

Date: 28 September 2026, Monday


	AEK Athens		PAOK

	1	X	2
	1.58	8.75	2.80
	1.47	8.50	3.30
	1.48	7.7	3.4	Watch
	1.57	9.75	2.75
	1.53	9.20	3.09
	1.49	8.60	3.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.2)	8.75 ↓ (9.5)	3.07 ↓ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEK Athens
59.9%

Draw
10.4%

PAOK
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.6%

9.4%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AEK Athens's form might have worsened.

PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting PAOK's recent form is better than expected.

AEK Athens - PAOK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:29

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEK won 3.

PAOK could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, AEK has recorded 16 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 605:516 (averaging 30.3:25.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for AEK against this opponent, the record stands at 10 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 334:275 goals (averaging 30.4:25 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	AEK Athens	4	4	0	0	130:101	8
10	PAOK	3	1	0	2	93:78	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Athens HC
Greek A1 Handball
23.09.26	Drama - AEK Athens	27:34 ✺
Greek Super Cup Handball
14.09.26	Olympiacos - AEK Athens	35:24 ✺
Greek A1 Handball
29.05.26	AEK Athens - Olympiacos	27:31 ✺
25.05.26	Olympiacos - AEK Athens	36:30 ✺
05.05.26	AEK Athens - Olympiacos	29:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLLLL
- PAOK HC
EHF European Cup
13.09.26	PAOK - HB Dudelange	29:21
12.09.26	HB Dudelange - PAOK	28:33
Greek A1 Handball
27.04.26	AEK Athens - PAOK	27:25 ✺
23.04.26	PAOK - AEK Athens	33:30 ✺
20.04.26	AEK Athens - PAOK	37:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Greek A1 Handball
27.04.26	AEK Athens - PAOK	27:25
23.04.26	PAOK - AEK Athens	33:30
20.04.26	AEK Athens - PAOK	37:31
09.03.26	AEK Athens - PAOK	28:28
Greek Cup Handball
21.12.25	AEK Athens - PAOK	26:25
Greek A1 Handball
19.11.25	PAOK - AEK Athens	29:27
25.01.25	PAOK - AEK Athens	27:35

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