Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 27 March 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 2
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	Sport 1
Romania	Prima Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	PPD Zagreb		Montpellier HB

	1	X	2
	2.05	7.5	2.25	Watch
	2.1	8	2.15
	1.97	8.22	2.21	Watch
	1.95	7.5	2.1
	1.99	7.9	2.23	Watch
	2.1	7.6	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.45)	7.79 ↓ (7.9)	2.19 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PPD Zagreb
45.8%

Draw
11.9%

Montpellier HB
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

11.8%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

11.9%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PPD Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in PPD Zagreb's performance.

Montpellier HB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montpellier HB might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PPD Zagreb than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with PPD Zagreb that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier HB than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montpellier HB could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

PPD Zagreb - Montpellier HB Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Zagreb will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Montpellier will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Montpellier: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:28

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Lineups


6. Cavar D.	71. Berthier A.
27. Cupic I.	12. Bolzinger C.
31. Dibirov T.	92. Desbonnet R.
8. Faljic A.	17. Fernandez J.
71. Glavas F.	2. Karlsson S.
10. Gojun J.	22. Konan K.
12. Grbavac A.	19. Lenne A.
18. Horvat Z.	32. Lenne Y.
47. Kavcic A.	26. Monte B.
9. Klarica L.	93. Nacinovic V.
5. Kos M.	18. Panic M.
25. Mandic M.	10. Pellas L.
23. Sirotic K.	28. Porte V.
11. Srna Z.	21. Prat K.
95. Suholeznik M.	4. Simonet D.
7. Walczak P.	20. Skube S.

Preview

1st leg.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Zagreb could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Zagreb won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 45-49.

Including matches at home between the teams Zagreb won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22-25.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RK PPD Zagreb
Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
22.03.24	PPD Zagreb - Porec	43:35 ✺
EHF Champions League
06.03.24	THW Kiel - PPD Zagreb	33:22 ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
02.03.24	Varazdin - PPD Zagreb	23:35 ✺
EHF Champions League
29.02.24	PPD Zagreb - Paris Saint-Germain	28:26 ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
25.02.24	PPD Zagreb - Sesvete	35:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWWW
- Montpellier HB
French Starligue Handball
24.03.24	Creteil - Montpellier HB	26:35 ✺
Coupe de France Handball
20.03.24	Montpellier HB - Paris Saint-Germain	32:35 ✺
French Starligue Handball
10.03.24	Montpellier HB - Limoges	36:34 ✺
EHF Champions League
07.03.24	Barcelona - Montpellier HB	34:37 ✺
French Starligue Handball
03.03.24	USAM Nimes - Montpellier HB	16:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League
01.12.21	Montpellier HB - PPD Zagreb	24:23
27.10.21	PPD Zagreb - Montpellier HB	22:25

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