Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 5

Date: 18 October 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Eurosport 2
Hungary	Sport 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Paris Saint-Germain		Aalborg

	1	X	2
	1.45	9.5	3.8	Watch
	1.45	12	3.4
	1.39	9.48	3.88	Watch
	1.36	9	3.6
	1.41	9.4	3.84	Watch
	1.41	8.8	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.42)	9.7 ↑ (9)	3.75 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris Saint-Germain
65.7%

Draw
9.6%

Aalborg
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

10.2%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

10.1%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Aalborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalborg than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	7.7%	15.4%

Paris Saint Germain - Aalborg Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Aalborg will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:31

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Preview

Paris is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Aalborg is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Paris could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Aalborg have a series of guest games.

In this match Paris is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Paris to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paris won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 166-142.

Including matches at home between the teams Paris won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 101-87.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris Saint-Germain Handball
French Starligue Handball
15.10.23	Chartres - Paris Saint-Germain	27:34 ✺
EHF Champions League
12.10.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Eurofarm Pelister	31:26 ✺
French Starligue Handball
08.10.23	Paris Saint-Germain - HBC Nantes	35:32 ✺
01.10.23	Dunkerque - Paris Saint-Germain	33:42 ✺
EHF Champions League
27.09.23	Vive Kielce - Paris Saint-Germain	30:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWWWL
- Aalborg Håndbold
Danish Handbold Ligaen
15.10.23	Skanderborg - Aalborg	19:26 ✺
EHF Champions League
12.10.23	PPD Zagreb - Aalborg	30:30 ✺
Danish Handbold Ligaen
07.10.23	Tvis Holstebro - Aalborg	27:35 ✺
04.10.23	Aalborg - KIF Kolding	35:31 ✺
30.09.23	GOG - Aalborg	23:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League
12.06.21	Paris Saint-Germain - Aalborg	33:35
24.11.19	Aalborg - Paris Saint-Germain	29:32
02.11.19	Paris Saint-Germain - Aalborg	37:24
02.12.17	Paris Saint-Germain - Aalborg	31:28
15.10.17	Aalborg - Paris Saint-Germain	26:33

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