Match Info

Starligue - Round 28

Date: 27 May 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports 1


	Paris Saint-Germain		HBC Nantes

	1	X	2
	1.85	8	2.55
	1.57	8.6	2.9	Watch
	1.5	7.81	3.32
	1.53	8	2.88
	1.62	9	2.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.44)	8.28 ↓ (8.78)	2.89 ↓ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris Saint-Germain
57.1%

Draw
11.1%

HBC Nantes
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

10.5%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

10.6%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paris Saint-Germain's form might have worsened.

HBC Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting HBC Nantes's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paris Saint-Germain, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HBC Nantes than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for HBC Nantes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Paris Saint Germain - HBC Nantes Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. PSG (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Paris Saint-Germain will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:33

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSG won 2.

PSG is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nantes has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

PSG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, PSG has had a series of away games.

In this match, PSG is considered a favorite.

We predict that PSG will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PSG won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 639:604. (average 32:30.2).

Including home matches between the teams, PSG won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 331:311. (average 33.1:31.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	PSG	5	5	0	0	168:139	10
2	Nantes	5	4	0	1	172:141	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris Saint-Germain Handball
French Starligue Handball
10.05.26	Selestat AHB - Paris Saint-Germain	23:34 ✺
03.05.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Chartres	40:20 ✺
24.04.26	Cesson Rennes Métropole - Paris Saint-Germain	31:34 ✺
18.04.26	Limoges - Paris Saint-Germain	28:32 ✺
Coupe de France Handball
15.04.26	Montpellier HB - Paris Saint-Germain	39:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWWWL
- HBC Nantes
Coupe de France Handball
23.05.26	Montpellier HB - HBC Nantes	27:24 ✺
French Starligue Handball
09.05.26	HBC Nantes - Dijon	42:32 ✺
EHF Champions League
06.05.26	Barcelona - HBC Nantes	31:21 ✺
French Starligue Handball
03.05.26	HBC Nantes - Chambery SH	42:32 ✺
EHF Champions League
30.04.26	HBC Nantes - Barcelona	30:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Starligue Handball
18.12.25	HBC Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain	31:31
09.03.25	Paris Saint-Germain - HBC Nantes	34:28
Coupe de France Handball
08.02.25	Paris Saint-Germain - HBC Nantes	40:39 penalties
French Starligue Handball
15.12.24	HBC Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain	34:31
French Trophee des Champions
31.08.24	Paris Saint-Germain - HBC Nantes	29:36
Coupe de France Handball
20.04.24	HBC Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain	23:31
French Starligue Handball
07.04.24	HBC Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain	32:30

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