Match Info

Champions League - Play Offs - Final

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	Eurosport 1
Hungary	Sport 1
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Eurosport 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 2
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1


	Barcelona		HBC Nantes

	1	X	2
	1.27	11	5.5	Watch
	1.15	15	7.25
	1.22	12	5	Watch
	1.24	10.79	6.15	Watch
	1.2	11	5
	1.2	14.6	7.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↑ (1.19)	12.4 ↓ (13.4)	5.99 ↓ (7.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 65.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona
76.9%

Draw
7.5%

HBC Nantes
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.8%

7.1%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

HBC Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Barcelona - HBC Nantes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 36:31

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Lineups


83. Barrufet I.	18. Abdi A.
23. Basterra A.	9. Avelange T.
3. Bazan A.	16. Biosca I.
9. Carlsbogard J.	13. Bos J.
11. Cikusa D.	3. Briet T.
72. Fabregas L.	2. Lagarde R.
6. Fernandez D.	17. Leopold N.
82. Frade L.	4. Minne A.
20. Gomez A.	8. Nyateu O.
1. Hallgrimsson V.	19. Odriozola K.
18. Janc B.	10. Ovnicek R.
35. Makuc D.	1. Pesic I.
10. Mem D.	7. Rivera V.
19. N'guessan T.	6. Tarrafeta I.
12. Nielsen E.	11. Tournat N.
45. Yehia M.	5. Yoshida S.

Preview

First leg result: 32-30. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 3.

Barcelona is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Nantes is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Barcelona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Barcelona is the clear favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 408:370. (average 31.4:28.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 191:165. (average 31.8:27.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barcelona Handball
EHF Champions League
30.04.26	HBC Nantes - Barcelona	30:32 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
25.04.26	Barcelona - BM Huesca	42:25 ✺
17.04.26	Nava - Barcelona	24:42 ✺
15.04.26	BM Ciudad Encantada - Barcelona	23:52 ✺
10.04.26	Barcelona - Reale Ademar	48:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWW
- HBC Nantes
French Starligue Handball
03.05.26	HBC Nantes - Chambery SH	42:32 ✺
EHF Champions League
30.04.26	HBC Nantes - Barcelona	30:32 ✺
French Starligue Handball
24.04.26	Istres OPH - HBC Nantes	31:40 ✺
19.04.26	HBC Nantes - Montpellier HB	35:32 ✺
Coupe de France Handball
15.04.26	USAM Nimes - HBC Nantes	30:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League
30.04.26	HBC Nantes - Barcelona	30:32
15.06.25	HBC Nantes - Barcelona	30:25
21.11.24	Barcelona - HBC Nantes	36:30
31.10.24	HBC Nantes - Barcelona	31:31
15.12.22	HBC Nantes - Barcelona	33:37
03.11.22	Barcelona - HBC Nantes	34:29
12.06.21	Barcelona - HBC Nantes	31:26

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