Match Info

European Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 April 2025, Monday

Location: USC Voždovac (Belgrade)


	Partizan Beograd		AEK Athens

	1	X	2
	2.2	8	1.95	Watch
	2.25	8.5	1.85
	2.31	8.2	1.83
	2.38	8.65	1.87	Watch
	2.3	8	1.8
	2.39	7.7	1.86	Watch
	2.31	8.2	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (1.94)	8.18 ↓ (8.3)	1.86 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Partizan Beograd
39.6%

Draw
11.2%

AEK Athens
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

11%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

10.6%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Partizan Beograd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Partizan Beograd's form might have worsened.

AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AEK Athens's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Partizan Beograd than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Partizan Beograd, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AEK Athens, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Partizan Beograd - AEK Athens Predictions

Users Predictions: Partizan Beograd will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Partizan Beograd will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:28

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Lineups


77. Andjelkovic L.	2. Arampatzis E.
15. Barjaktarovic L.	41. Beauregard F.
88. Corsovic M.	23. Davyes W.
5. Crnoglavac N.	5. Duarte G.
44. Djordjic P.	25. Garain D.
32. Heidarirad S.	12. Genty Y.
17. Kotar M.	9. Keita A.
6. Madzovski B.	22. Koukoulas A.
22. Micic I.	15. Lulic P.
24. Petrovic D.	4. Matic M.
31. Radojkovic M.	11. Panagiotou D.
7. Sotic M.	93. Sako A.
3. Vasic M.	8. Schmidt E.
11. Vujovic S.	14. Tepper D.
19. Zecevic N.	34. Toure S.
50. Zoric N.	7. Vlastos V.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 22-27.

Partizan is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

AEK is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Partizan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Partizan will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Partizan to win the game is with odds 1.76.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Partizan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 47:50 (average 23.5:25).

Including matches at home between the teams Partizan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 25:23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RK Partizan Beograd
Serbian Superliga Handball
02.04.25	Radnički Kragujevac - Partizan Beograd	26:34 ✺
26.03.25	Partizan Beograd - Obilic Beograd	36:25 ✺
EHF European Cup
22.03.25	AEK Athens - Partizan Beograd	27:22 ✺
Serbian Superliga Handball
07.03.25	Dubočica - Partizan Beograd	23:24 ✺
01.03.25	Partizan Beograd - Rudar Kostolac	34:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLWW
- AEK Athens HC
Greek A1 Handball
02.04.25	AEK Athens - Pylaias	41:26 ✺
EHF European Cup
22.03.25	AEK Athens - Partizan Beograd	27:22 ✺
Greek A1 Handball
18.03.25	Doukas - AEK Athens	28:42 ✺
02.03.25	AEK Athens - Kilkis	41:27 ✺
26.02.25	AEK Athens - Olympiacos	38:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

EHF European Cup
22.03.25	AEK Athens - Partizan Beograd	27:22
Club Friendly Hanbdall
25.08.18	Partizan Beograd - AEK Athens	25:23

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