What is the expert prediction for AEK Athens vs Olympiacos?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for AEK Athens vs Olympiacos. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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AEK Athens vs Olympiacos Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Tuesday, May 05, 2026)

Match Info

A1 - Play Offs - Final

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	ERT 2


	AEK Athens		Olympiacos

	1	X	2
	3.4	9.8	1.42
	3.92	8.07	1.39
	3.4	9	1.4
	3.59	9.7	1.42
	3.66	7.5	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↓ (3.66)	8.81 ↑ (7.5)	1.41 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEK Athens
25.2%

Draw
10.3%

Olympiacos
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

11.9%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

10.6%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Olympiacos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympiacos than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olympiacos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:33

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Preview

AEK Athens leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEK won 2.

AEK is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Olympiacos has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Olympiacos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Olympiacos is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AEK won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 550:561. (average 27.5:28.1).

Including home matches between the teams, AEK won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 235:228. (average 29.4:28.5).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Athens HC
Greek A1 Handball
01.05.26	Olympiacos - AEK Athens	32:33 ✺
27.04.26	AEK Athens - PAOK	27:25 ✺
23.04.26	PAOK - AEK Athens	33:30 ✺
20.04.26	AEK Athens - PAOK	37:31 ✺
11.03.26	Vrilissia - AEK Athens	34:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWLWW
- Olympiacos Handball
Greek A1 Handball
01.05.26	Olympiacos - AEK Athens	32:33 ✺
21.04.26	Ionikos Nea Filadelfeia - Olympiacos	23:34 ✺
18.04.26	Olympiacos - Ionikos Nea Filadelfeia	30:23 ✺
08.04.26	Diomidis Argous - Olympiacos	28:45 ✺
EHF European Cup
04.04.26	Ohrid - Olympiacos	25:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Greek A1 Handball
01.05.26	Olympiacos - AEK Athens	32:33
04.03.26	Olympiacos - AEK Athens	32:26
Greek Cup Handball
09.02.26	Olympiacos - AEK Athens	33:29
Greek A1 Handball
10.11.25	AEK Athens - Olympiacos	28:27
Greek Super Cup Handball
15.09.25	Olympiacos - AEK Athens	24:23
Greek A1 Handball
13.06.25	AEK Athens - Olympiacos	30:32
10.06.25	Olympiacos - AEK Athens	27:30

AEK Athens - Olympiacos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide