Match Info

Starligue - Round 13

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports 3


	Pays dAix		USAM Nimes

	1	X	2
	1.9	7.5	2.4
	1.87	8	2.28
	1.81	7.12	2.5
	1.83	7.5	2.25
	1.88	9.1	2.27	Watch
	1.9	8.5	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.98)	7.95 ↑ (7.33)	2.34 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pays dAix
49.2%

Draw
11.5%

USAM Nimes
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

12.6%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

12.7%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pays dAix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

USAM Nimes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pays dAix than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USAM Nimes than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Pays dAix - USAM Nimes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:31

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pays dAix won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pays dAix won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 569:561. (average 28.5:28.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Pays dAix won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 310:295. (average 28.2:26.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pays dAix Handball
French Starligue Handball
29.11.25	Selestat AHB - Pays dAix	24:31 ✺
23.11.25	HBC Nantes - Pays dAix	34:28 ✺
14.11.25	Pays dAix - Limoges	30:32 ✺
06.11.25	Dunkerque - Pays dAix	25:30 ✺
26.10.25	Pays dAix - Montpellier HB	29:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLWL
- USAM Nimes
French Starligue Handball
28.11.25	USAM Nimes - Dijon	24:21 ✺
21.11.25	Limoges - USAM Nimes	33:33 ✺
15.11.25	USAM Nimes - Montpellier HB	30:29 ✺
07.11.25	Saint-Raphael - USAM Nimes	31:28 ✺
24.10.25	USAM Nimes - Chartres	25:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Starligue Handball
30.05.25	Pays dAix - USAM Nimes	27:27
01.11.24	USAM Nimes - Pays dAix	27:29
23.02.24	Pays dAix - USAM Nimes	26:29
22.10.23	USAM Nimes - Pays dAix	31:32
11.02.23	Pays dAix - USAM Nimes	21:31
Coupe de France Handball
03.02.23	Pays dAix - USAM Nimes	38:34
French Starligue Handball
25.11.22	USAM Nimes - Pays dAix	31:33

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