Match Info

Starligue - Round 12

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports 3


	Selestat AHB		Pays dAix

	1	X	2
	2.9	8	1.67
	2.55	8	1.72
	2.5	9.5	1.73	Watch
	2.75	8.5	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (3.19)	8.5 ↓ (8.6)	1.71 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Selestat AHB
34.7%

Draw
10.9%

Pays dAix
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

10.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

10.6%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Selestat AHB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Selestat AHB's performance.

Pays dAix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pays dAix might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Selestat AHB than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Selestat AHB that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pays dAix than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pays dAix could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Selestat AHB - Pays dAix Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:32

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Selestat won 1.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Pays dAix may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Pays dAix might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Selestat won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 269:278. (average 29.9:30.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Selestat won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 118:119. (average 29.5:29.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Selestat AHB
French Starligue Handball
21.11.25	Tremblay - Selestat AHB	34:32 ✺
14.11.25	Selestat AHB - Chambery SH	33:33 ✺
07.11.25	Montpellier HB - Selestat AHB	35:30 ✺
24.10.25	Selestat AHB - Fenix Toulouse	26:28 ✺
17.10.25	Dunkerque - Selestat AHB	26:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LTLLW
- Pays dAix Handball
French Starligue Handball
23.11.25	HBC Nantes - Pays dAix	34:28 ✺
14.11.25	Pays dAix - Limoges	30:32 ✺
06.11.25	Dunkerque - Pays dAix	25:30 ✺
26.10.25	Pays dAix - Montpellier HB	29:30 ✺
17.10.25	Tremblay - Pays dAix	32:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

French Starligue Handball
24.02.23	Pays dAix - Selestat AHB	25:31
Coupe de France Handball
15.11.22	Pays dAix - Selestat AHB	40:34
French Starligue Handball
23.09.22	Selestat AHB - Pays dAix	26:29
15.04.15	Pays dAix - Selestat AHB	33:27
12.11.14	Selestat AHB - Pays dAix	26:29
21.02.14	Pays dAix - Selestat AHB	28:28
23.11.13	Selestat AHB - Pays dAix	30:31

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