Match Info

NLA - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Pfadi Winterthur		HC Kriens-Luzern

	1	X	2
	3	8.5	1.52
	2.85	10.5	1.53
	2.85	8.8	1.57
	2.85	7.71	1.6	Watch
	2.75	8.5	1.57
	2.72	8.9	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↓ (3)	8.82 ↑ (8.5)	1.57 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 64.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pfadi Winterthur
32%

Draw
10.3%

HC Kriens-Luzern
57.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.1%

10.6%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

9.7%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pfadi Winterthur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

HC Kriens-Luzern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pfadi Winterthur than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HC Kriens-Luzern than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Pfadi Winterthur - HC Kriens Luzern Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:33

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Preview

HC Kriens leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 0.

In recent matches, Winterthur has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

HC Kriens is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Winterthur may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, HC Kriens has had a series of home games.

HC Kriens is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that HC Kriens will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 598:651. (average 29.9:32.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Winterthur won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 220:231. (average 31.4:33).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	HC Kriens	11	11	0	0	397:328	22
3	Pfadi Winterthur	12	7	1	4	370:338	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pfadi Winterthur
Swiss NLA Handball
26.04.26	HC Kriens-Luzern - Pfadi Winterthur	38:27 ✺
18.04.26	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen - Pfadi Winterthur	26:28 ✺
16.04.26	Pfadi Winterthur - TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	32:24 ✺
12.04.26	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen - Pfadi Winterthur	34:31 OT ✺
09.04.26	Pfadi Winterthur - TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	29:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWLW
- HC Kriens-Luzern
Swiss NLA Handball
26.04.26	HC Kriens-Luzern - Pfadi Winterthur	38:27 ✺
15.04.26	HC Kriens-Luzern - RTV Basel	46:38 ✺
11.04.26	RTV Basel - HC Kriens-Luzern	29:41 ✺
08.04.26	HC Kriens-Luzern - RTV Basel	42:35 ✺
01.04.26	HC Kriens-Luzern - Bern Muri	39:37 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss NLA Handball
26.04.26	HC Kriens-Luzern - Pfadi Winterthur	38:27
04.03.26	HC Kriens-Luzern - Pfadi Winterthur	32:29
14.02.26	HC Kriens-Luzern - Pfadi Winterthur	36:29
14.12.25	Pfadi Winterthur - HC Kriens-Luzern	31:31
27.03.25	HC Kriens-Luzern - Pfadi Winterthur	38:31
14.11.24	Pfadi Winterthur - HC Kriens-Luzern	56:60
26.09.24	HC Kriens-Luzern - Pfadi Winterthur	35:31

Pfadi Winterthur - HC Kriens-Luzern