Match Info

NLA - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday


	Pfadi Winterthur		TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen

	1	X	2
	1.37	8.5	3.8
	1.33	10	3.95
	1.36	8.11	4.1	Watch
	1.33	9	3.75
	1.3	10.5	4.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.36)	9.22 ↑ (8.11)	4.04 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pfadi Winterthur
67.7%

Draw
9.8%

TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

11.2%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

10.4%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pfadi Winterthur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pfadi Winterthur than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pfadi Winterthur that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Pfadi Winterthur - TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:27

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Preview

Series tied 1-1. Third leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 4.

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, Winterthur is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 618:583. (average 30.9:29.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Winterthur won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 309:286. (average 30.9:28.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
3	Pfadi Winterthur	9	4	1	4	282:261	9
6	St. Gallen	8	3	0	5	224:233	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pfadi Winterthur
Swiss NLA Handball
12.04.26	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen - Pfadi Winterthur	34:31 OT ✺
09.04.26	Pfadi Winterthur - TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	29:28 ✺
01.04.26	Pfadi Winterthur - Wacker Thun	35:31 ✺
25.03.26	RTV Basel - Pfadi Winterthur	32:32 ✺
14.03.26	Pfadi Winterthur - Suhr Aarau	34:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWTW
- TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen
Swiss NLA Handball
12.04.26	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen - Pfadi Winterthur	34:31 OT ✺
09.04.26	Pfadi Winterthur - TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	29:28 ✺
01.04.26	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen - Suhr Aarau	31:23 ✺
25.03.26	Handball Stäfa - TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	31:33 ✺
11.03.26	Amicitia Zurich - TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	24:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss NLA Handball
12.04.26	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen - Pfadi Winterthur	34:31 OT
09.04.26	Pfadi Winterthur - TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	29:28
18.02.26	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen - Pfadi Winterthur	22:23
05.11.25	Pfadi Winterthur - TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	35:28
24.09.25	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen - Pfadi Winterthur	25:30
02.04.25	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen - Pfadi Winterthur	29:27
15.12.24	Pfadi Winterthur - TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	30:30

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