Match Info

EHF Euro - Preliminary

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Kristianstad Arena (Kristianstad)

Referee: Kleven H. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	CT sport Plus
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Eurosport 1
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra


	Poland		Italy

	1	X	2
	2.8	8.5	1.72	Watch
	2.7	8.4	1.64	Watch
	2.84	8.03	1.7	Watch
	2.75	8.5	1.67
	2.66	9	1.68	Watch
	3	8	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (2.95)	8.41 ↑ (8.24)	1.68 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poland
33.4%

Draw
11.1%

Italy
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

11.4%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Italy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Poland - Italy Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Poland will win (votes: 11 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Poland: 100% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 59.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Poland will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:31

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Lineups


44. Czaplinski M.	6. Bulzamini D.
3. Daszek M.	11. D'Antino N.
36. Dawydzik D.	5. Dapiran G.
28. Gebala M.	1. Ebner D.
48. Gebala T.	24. Helmersson M.
25. Jarosiewicz P.	23. Manojlovic C.
4. Jedraszczyk P.	10. Mengon M.
38. Kaczor S.	15. Mengon S.
26. Marciniak M.	51. Panitti P.
23. Moryto A.	32. Parisini A.
5. Olejniczak M.	29. Pirani J.
35. Paterek P.	2. Prantner L.
2. Przytula D.	20. Pugliese D.
50. Skrzyniarz J.	30. Romei T.
1. Walach M.	8. Savini G.
17. Widomski A.	40. Sirot S.
Coaches
. Gonzalez J.	. Hanning B.

Preview

Italy has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Italy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Italy could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Poland won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 61:52. (average 30.5:26).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poland handball
Handball European Championship
18.01.26	Poland - Iceland	23:31 ✺
16.01.26	Hungary - Poland	29:21 ✺
Friendly International Handball
31.10.25	Poland - Czech Republic	29:30 ✺
Handball European Championship
11.05.25	Poland - Romania	30:29 ✺
08.05.25	Israel - Poland	33:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL
- Italy handball
Handball European Championship
18.01.26	Italy - Hungary	26:32 ✺
16.01.26	Iceland - Italy	39:26 ✺
Friendly International Handball
11.01.26	Faroe Islands - Italy	38:34 ✺
09.01.26	Faroe Islands - Italy	34:36 ✺
06.01.26	Italy - Romania	35:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Handball European Championship
27.04.23	Italy - Poland	29:31
13.10.22	Poland - Italy	30:23

Poland - Italy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide