Match Info

European Cup Women - Final

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Pavillón Municipal do Porriño (Pontevedra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
Norway	Viaplay
Romania	Prima Sport 4
Sweden	Viaplay


	Porriño		Valur Reykjavik

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.61	8.2	2.8	Watch
	1.62	8.21	2.85	Watch
	1.63	7.9	2.84
	1.65	8.2	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.94)	8.13 ↑ (7.6)	2.8 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 50.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porriño
56.1%

Draw
11.2%

Valur Reykjavik
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

11.9%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

12%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porriño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Porriño's performance.

Valur Reykjavik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valur Reykjavik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porriño than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Porriño that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valur Reykjavik than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valur Reykjavik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Porriño - Valur Reykjavik Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 50.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:24

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Lineups


20. Barros M.	13. Agustsdottir A.
8. Benaches I.	9. Agustsdottir L.
35. Bengoetxea M.	21. Arnardottir A.
4. Bono C.	3. Arngrimsdottir S.
7. Campo A.	10. Asgeirsdottir T.
5. Casasola M.	6. Bjornsdottir H.
19. Fernandez A.	18. Einarsdottir H.
95. Laguna L.	20. Eiriksdottir A.
88. Moreno D.	14. Eliasdottir E.
18. Palomino A.	2. Hauksdottir S.
22. Perez P.	33. Magnusdottir E.
12. Rosalez Cabrera F. A.	5. Porhallsdottir A.
21. Samartin S.	12. Renotudottir H.
14. Santome A.	25. Sturludottir T.
10. Valles M.	35. Thompson L.
3. Zhukova E.	15. Traustadottir G.

Preview

1st leg.

Porriño is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Valur is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Porriño may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Valur has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BM Porriño
Spanish División de Honor Handball Women
07.05.25	Elche - Porriño	32:21 ✺
03.05.25	Porriño - Morvedre	27:19 ✺
26.04.25	La Calzada - Porriño	21:21 ✺
20.04.25	Porriño - Mecalia Atletico Guardes	24:23 ✺
05.04.25	Elda Prestigia - Porriño	29:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWTWW
- Valur Reykjavik Handball Women
Icelandic Olis Deild Women
02.05.25	Valur Reykjavik - IR Reykjavík	31:23 ✺
29.04.25	IR Reykjavík - Valur Reykjavik	19:32 ✺
26.04.25	Valur Reykjavik - IR Reykjavík	33:12 ✺
03.04.25	Valur Reykjavik - Stjarnan	34:23 ✺
EHF European Cup Women
30.03.25	Valur Reykjavik - IUVENTA Michalovce	30:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWW

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