Match Info

Division de Honor Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday


	Porriño		Mecalia Atletico Guardes

	1	X	2
	2.17	7.4	1.98
	2.23	6.95	1.97	Watch
	2.2	7.5	1.91
	2.2	8.3	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.88)	7.54 ↓ (8.5)	1.95 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porriño
41.3%

Draw
12.1%

Mecalia Atletico Guardes
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

10.7%

57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

10.3%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porriño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Porriño's performance.

Mecalia Atletico Guardes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mecalia Atletico Guardes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porriño than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Porriño that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mecalia Atletico Guardes than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mecalia Atletico Guardes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Porriño - Mecalia Atletico Guardes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:25

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Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porriño won 2.

Porriño is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Guardes is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Guardes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Guardes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Porriño won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 464:515. (average 23.2:25.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Porriño won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 227:248. (average 22.7:24.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Guardes W	5	4	1	0	122:94	9
10	Porrino W	5	2	0	3	103:121	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BM Porriño
Spanish División de Honor Handball Women
18.04.26	Sporting La Rioja - Porriño	22:25 ✺
04.04.26	Porriño - BM Granollers	27:27 ✺
29.03.26	Lanzarote Zonzamas - Porriño	19:22 ✺
21.03.26	Porriño - Morvedre	29:20 ✺
15.03.26	Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Porriño	18:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WTWWW
- Mecalia Atletico Guardes
EHF European Cup Women
25.04.26	Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Malaga Costa del Sol	26:23 ✺
19.04.26	Malaga Costa del Sol - Mecalia Atletico Guardes	24:26 ✺
Spanish División de Honor Handball Women
15.04.26	Morvedre - Mecalia Atletico Guardes	23:23 ✺
04.04.26	Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Elda Prestigia	26:27 ✺
31.03.26	Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Rocasa Gran Canaria ACE	25:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish División de Honor Handball Women
15.03.26	Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Porriño	18:27
02.11.25	Porriño - Mecalia Atletico Guardes	21:25
20.04.25	Porriño - Mecalia Atletico Guardes	24:23
28.12.24	Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Porriño	26:22
28.04.24	Porriño - Mecalia Atletico Guardes	29:29
21.04.24	Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Porriño	29:30
16.03.24	Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Porriño	29:23

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