Match Info

WORLD: World Championship - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 29 January 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Unity Arena (Oslo) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:30	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	16:30	SporTV 2
Croatia	20:30	RTL 2
Czech Republic	20:30	CT sport, CT sport Plus
Denmark	20:30	DR 1, DR TV
Finland	21:30	Viaplay
France	20:30	beIN Sports 1
Germany	20:30	Sportdeuschland
Hungary	20:30	M4 Sport
Italy	20:30	PallamanoTV
Kazakhstan	01:30	Sport+
Netherlands	20:30	Viaplay
North Macedonia	20:30	MRT 1
Norway	20:30	Viaplay
Poland	20:30	Viaplay
Serbia	20:30	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	20:30	STVR Sport
Slovenia	20:30	Arena Sport 1
Sweden	20:30	TV10, Viaplay
Ukraine	21:30	Sport 1
Usa	14:30	ESPN 3


	Portugal		Germany

	1	X	2
	2.4	8.5	1.9	Watch
	2.4	8.5	1.87
	2.3	8	1.84
	2.35	8.07	1.92	Watch
	2.25	8	1.85
	2.34	8	1.93
	2.3	8	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.25)	8.15 ↓ (8.5)	1.88 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portugal
39.5%

Draw
11.3%

Germany
49.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.8%

11.1%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

11%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portugal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Germany has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portugal than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Germany than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	7.7%	23.1%

Portugal - Germany Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Portugal will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Germany will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portugal: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:32

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Lineups


25. Areia A.	34. Dahmke R.
86. Brandao R.	54. Fischer J.
23. Branquinho D.	4. Golla J.
41. Capdeville G.	71. Grgic M.
26. Costa F.	73. Kastening T.
79. Costa M.	15. Knorr J.
21. Fernandes L.	18. Koster J.
82. Frade L.	3. Lichtlein N.
66. Gomes J.	36. Mertens L.
8. Iturriza V.	22. Michalczik M.
88. Magalhaes F.	1. Spath D.
16. Marques D.	44. Steinert C.
80. Oliveira M.	23. Uscins R.
4. Portela P.	7. Witzke L.
31. Salvador S.	33. Wolff A.
14. Sousa R.	17. Zerbe L.
Coaches
. Pereira P.	. Gislason A.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Portugal won 1.

Portugal in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Germany is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Germany could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Portugal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 201:222 (average 28.7:31.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portugal handball
Handball World Championship
26.01.25	Portugal - Chile	46:28 ✺
24.01.25	Spain - Portugal	29:35 ✺
22.01.25	Sweden - Portugal	37:37 ✺
19.01.25	Norway - Portugal	28:31 ✺
17.01.25	Portugal - Brazil	30:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWTWW
- Germany handball
Handball World Championship
25.01.25	Germany - Tunisia	31:19 ✺
23.01.25	Italy - Germany	27:34 ✺
21.01.25	Denmark - Germany	40:30 ✺
19.01.25	Germany - Czech Republic	29:22 ✺
17.01.25	Switzerland - Germany	29:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Handball
06.01.24	Germany - Portugal	35:31
04.01.24	Germany - Portugal	34:33
07.11.21	Germany - Portugal	30:32
05.11.21	Germany - Portugal	30:28
Handball European Championship
25.01.20	Germany - Portugal	29:27
14.06.17	Portugal - Germany	26:29
02.11.16	Germany - Portugal	35:24

Portugal - Germany