Match Info

EHF Euro

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Jyske Bank Boxen (Herning)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	ORF Sport+
Croatia	Voyo
Czech-republic	CT sport Plus
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports MAX 4
Georgia	Silk Sport 3
Iceland	RUV
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
North-macedonia	MRT 1
Norway	TV3, Viaplay
Portugal	RTP 1
Slovakia	JOJ Play, JOJ Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
Spain	Teledeporte, TVE Internacional
Sweden	Viaplay


	Spain		Portugal

	1	X	2
	1.75	8.5	2.7	Watch
	1.8	8.75	2.5
	1.78	8	2.43	Watch
	1.87	7.53	2.52	Watch
	1.8	8	2.5
	1.82	8.8	2.38	Watch
	1.72	8.5	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.73)	8.3 ↓ (10.14)	2.54 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 66.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spain
52.1%

Draw
11.2%

Portugal
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

9.2%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

9.3%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Portugal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spain than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portugal than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	16.7%	8.3%

Spain - Portugal Predictions

Users Predictions: Spain will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Spain will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:34

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Lineups


80. Barrufet I.	25. Areia A.
53. Biosca I.	86. Brandao R.
8. Casado A.	23. Branquinho D.
10. Dujshebaev A.	41. Capdeville G.
24. Dujshebaev D.	95. Cavalcanti G.
70. Fernandez D.	26. Costa F.
22. Fis M.	79. Costa M.
18. Garciandia I.	21. Fernandes L.
28. Gomez A.	29. Ferreira J.
7. Gurri J.	82. Frade L.
25. Hernandez S.	66. Gomes J.
11. Odriozola K.	9. Graca F.
99. Rodriguez J.	8. Iturriza V.
37. Romero V.	20. Neves M.
20. Serdio A.	13. Rocha S.
5. Serradilla A.	14. Sousa R.
33. Suarez N.	96. Tonicher P.
9. Tarrafeta I.	99. Valerio D.
Coaches
. Ribera J.	. Pereira P.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spain won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Spain won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 185:171. (average 30.8:28.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spain handball
Handball European Championship
26.01.26	Spain - France	36:32 ✺
24.01.26	Spain - Denmark	31:36 ✺
22.01.26	Spain - Norway	34:35 ✺
19.01.26	Germany - Spain	34:32 ✺
17.01.26	Austria - Spain	25:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLLLW
- Portugal handball
Handball European Championship
26.01.26	Portugal - Norway	35:35 ✺
24.01.26	France - Portugal	46:38 ✺
22.01.26	Germany - Portugal	32:30 ✺
20.01.26	Denmark - Portugal	29:31 ✺
18.01.26	North Macedonia - Portugal	29:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.1 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Handball
11.01.26	Spain - Portugal	31:34
Handball World Championship
24.01.25	Spain - Portugal	29:35
Friendly International Handball
08.07.21	Portugal - Spain	32:31
03.01.20	Spain - Portugal	30:25
Mediterranean Games Handball
24.06.18	Spain - Portugal	34:22
Handball European Championship
12.06.13	Portugal - Spain	23:30

Spain - Portugal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide