Match Info

Date: 27 September 2022, Tuesday


	Puławy		Nexe

	1	X	2
	2.85	8.75	1.57
	2.7	8.5	1.67
	2.85	8.2	1.55
	2.62	8.5	1.67
	2.56	9.3	1.68
	2.65	9.2	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (1.87)	8.74 ↑ (8.5)	1.64 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puławy
33.8%

Draw
10.4%

Nexe
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

10.8%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

11%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puławy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Puławy's form might have worsened.

Nexe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nexe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puławy than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Puławy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nexe than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nexe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.8%	3.8%	92.3%

Puławy - Nexe Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Puławy will win (votes: 1 - 3.8%). Nexe will win (votes: 24 - 92.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nexe: 82.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:29

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Preview

1st leg.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Azoty-Pulawy could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Nexe have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Lotto-Puławy
Polish Superliga Handball
24.09.22	Wybrzeże Gdańsk - Puławy	30:25 ✺
17.09.22	Puławy - Gwardia Opole	32:33 ✺
11.09.22	MMTS Kwidzyn - Puławy	23:30 ✺
04.09.22	Puławy - Kalisz	30:24 ✺
Club Friendly Hanbdall
21.08.22	Házená Nové Veselí - Puławy	25:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWWW
- RK Nexe
Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
17.09.22	Nexe - Gorica	37:24 ✺
10.09.22	Nexe - Metković	43:20 ✺
SEHA Liga
04.09.22	Nexe - Eurofarm Pelister	23:27 ✺
02.09.22	Nexe - PPD Zagreb	26:32 ✺
23.08.22	Vardar - Nexe	30:32 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLLW

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