Match Info

PORTUGAL: Andebol 1 - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday


	Póvoa		Madeira

	1	X	2
	3.2	10	1.45
	3.35	8.8	1.45
	3.18	8.77	1.52
	3.3	9	1.4
	3.18	8.5	1.53
	3.35	8.8	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (3.12)	8.98 ↑ (8.5)	1.47 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Póvoa
27.9%

Draw
10.1%

Madeira
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

10.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

11.5%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Póvoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Madeira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Póvoa than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madeira than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Madeira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Póvoa - Madeira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:29

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Póvoa won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Madeira could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Madeira is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Póvoa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 293:331 (average 24.4:27.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Póvoa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 126:133 (average 25.2:26.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Póvoa Andebol
Portuguese Andebol 1
23.11.24	ABC Braga - Póvoa	33:21 ✺
16.11.24	Póvoa - Belenenses	31:27 ✺
02.11.24	Póvoa - Avanca	26:26 ✺
26.10.24	Águas Santas - Póvoa	28:27 ✺
19.10.24	Póvoa - Nazaré	29:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWTLW
- Madeira Andebol SAD
Portuguese Andebol 1
23.11.24	Madeira - Sporting da Horta	30:23 ✺
15.11.24	Benfica - Madeira	35:25 ✺
02.11.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Madeira	30:33 ✺
26.10.24	Madeira - Porto	27:40 ✺
23.10.24	Avanca - Madeira	29:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Andebol 1
15.09.24	Madeira - Póvoa	28:24
25.05.24	Madeira - Póvoa	29:25
26.04.24	Póvoa - Madeira	25:30
10.02.24	Póvoa - Madeira	31:32
04.10.23	Madeira - Póvoa	28:26
Taca de Portugal Handball
10.06.23	Madeira - Póvoa	28:21
Portuguese Andebol 1
21.05.23	Madeira - Póvoa	31:24

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