Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 8

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Quabit Guadalajara		Caserio Ciudad Real

	1	X	2
	2.25	8	2	Watch
	2.08	7.8	2.03
	2.15	7.43	1.92	Watch
	2.13	9.5	1.94	Watch
	2.22	9	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.25)	8.35 ↑ (8)	1.97 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quabit Guadalajara
42.4%

Draw
11%

Caserio Ciudad Real
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

11.7%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

11.7%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quabit Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Caserio Ciudad Real has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quabit Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caserio Ciudad Real than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

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Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division de Honor Plata and 11).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Guadalajara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 56:51. (average 28:25.5).

Including home match between the teams, Guadalajara won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 26:26.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quabit Guadalajara
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
25.10.25	Bidasoa Irun - Quabit Guadalajara	34:31 ✺
17.10.25	Quabit Guadalajara - BM Granollers	29:32 ✺
11.10.25	Morrazo Cangas - Quabit Guadalajara	29:34 ✺
05.10.25	Quabit Guadalajara - Villa de Aranda	27:30 ✺
27.09.25	Atlético Valladolid - Quabit Guadalajara	32:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LLWLL
- Caserio Ciudad Real
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
26.10.25	Caserio Ciudad Real - Barcelona	27:37 ✺
19.10.25	BM Huesca - Caserio Ciudad Real	29:29 ✺
12.10.25	Caserio Ciudad Real - Nava	30:27 ✺
04.10.25	Reale Ademar - Caserio Ciudad Real	38:31 ✺
27.09.25	Caserio Ciudad Real - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	27:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
07.04.24	Caserio Ciudad Real - Quabit Guadalajara	25:30
25.11.23	Quabit Guadalajara - Caserio Ciudad Real	26:26

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