Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 4

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	Quabit Guadalajara		Villa de Aranda

	1	X	2
	3.2	8.5	1.6	Watch
	3	9.5	1.56
	2.85	8.6	1.58
	13.35	8.72	1.11	Watch
	2.7	9.3	1.64	Watch
	3.05	9	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.69 ↑ (3.4)	8.94 ↑ (8.5)	1.51 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quabit Guadalajara
21.6%

Draw
11.3%

Villa de Aranda
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

11.1%

61%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quabit Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Quabit Guadalajara's form might have worsened.

Villa de Aranda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villa de Aranda's recent form is better than expected.

Quabit Guadalajara - Villa de Aranda Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 56.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:30

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 4.

Guadalajara has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Guadalajara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Villa de Aranda is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 504:495. (average 28:27.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 261:253. (average 29:28.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quabit Guadalajara
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
27.09.25	Atlético Valladolid - Quabit Guadalajara	32:22 ✺
21.09.25	Quabit Guadalajara - EÓN Alicante	29:35 ✺
13.09.25	Naturhouse La Rioja - Quabit Guadalajara	34:30 ✺
Club Friendly Hanbdall
16.08.25	Quabit Guadalajara - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	34:34 ✺
15.08.25	BM Ciudad Encantada - Quabit Guadalajara	29:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL
- Villa de Aranda
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
20.09.25	BM Huesca - Villa de Aranda	28:25 ✺
14.09.25	Villa de Aranda - Nava	29:25 ✺
01.06.25	Villa de Aranda - BM Huesca	28:34 ✺
23.05.25	Barcelona - Villa de Aranda	45:27 ✺
17.05.25	Villa de Aranda - BM Ciudad Encantada	35:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
23.03.25	Villa de Aranda - Quabit Guadalajara	22:23
19.10.24	Quabit Guadalajara - Villa de Aranda	34:35
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
11.02.24	Villa de Aranda - Quabit Guadalajara	29:30
07.10.23	Quabit Guadalajara - Villa de Aranda	31:28
11.12.21	Villa de Aranda - Quabit Guadalajara	24:27
25.09.21	Quabit Guadalajara - Villa de Aranda	24:22
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
17.04.21	Quabit Guadalajara - Villa de Aranda	25:30

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