Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 1

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday


	Villa de Aranda		Nava

	1	X	2
	2.6	8	1.8	Watch
	2.35	8.25	1.87
	2.25	8	1.88
	2.15	6.97	2.09	Watch
	2.24	9.4	1.89	Watch
	2.3	8	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (1.97)	8.1 (8.1)	1.91 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Villa de Aranda
40.1%

Draw
11.4%

Nava
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

11.4%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa de Aranda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villa de Aranda's form might have worsened.

Nava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nava's recent form is better than expected.

Villa de Aranda - Nava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:31

#ad

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villa de Aranda won 1.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Villa de Aranda won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 280:284. (average 28:28.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Villa de Aranda won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 147:149. (average 29.4:29.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villa de Aranda
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
01.06.25	Villa de Aranda - BM Huesca	28:34 ✺
23.05.25	Barcelona - Villa de Aranda	45:27 ✺
17.05.25	Villa de Aranda - BM Ciudad Encantada	35:34 ✺
03.05.25	Villa de Aranda - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	28:25 ✺
27.04.25	Naturhouse La Rioja - Villa de Aranda	36:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWWL
- BM Nava
Club Friendly Hanbdall
14.08.25	Nava - Naturhouse La Rioja	37:35 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
01.06.25	Benidorm - Nava	30:23 ✺
25.05.25	Nava - BM Granollers	32:37 ✺
17.05.25	Quabit Guadalajara - Nava	31:31 ✺
04.05.25	BM Ciudad Encantada - Nava	24:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
07.03.25	Nava - Villa de Aranda	27:28
13.10.24	Villa de Aranda - Nava	31:34
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
17.12.22	Nava - Villa de Aranda	32:27
01.10.22	Villa de Aranda - Nava	31:31
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
11.04.21	Villa de Aranda - Nava	26:29
09.12.20	Nava - Villa de Aranda	21:30
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
23.02.19	Villa de Aranda - Nava	29:26

Upcoming Matches