Match Info

SPAIN: Liga ASOBAL - Round 13

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Palacio de los Deportes de León (León)


	Reale Ademar		Anaitasuna

	1	X	2
	1.27	11	5.5
	1.25	11.5	5.25
	1.22	12	5.2
	1.26	10.75	5.39	Watch
	1.2	12	5.5
	1.29	10.5	4.9
	1.22	12	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.31)	11.39 ↑ (9.65)	5.28 ↑ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reale Ademar
74.3%

Draw
8.1%

Anaitasuna
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

9.5%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

8.1%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reale Ademar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Anaitasuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reale Ademar than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Reale Ademar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anaitasuna than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Anaitasuna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Reale Ademar - Anaitasuna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:28

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Lineups


4. Alvarez C.	30. Albizu A.
37. Alvaro F. A.	35. Castro P.
73. Benites R.	13. Duo A.
13. Doval R.	23. Echavarri A. O.
66. Fernandez E.	44. Elustondo J.
2. Lindqvist O.	7. Ganuza M.
33. Martin A.	24. Itoiz P.
14. Mellado S.	33. Kisselev O.
3. Minabres J.	8. Moreno A.
24. Mohamed M.	61. Moreno M.
10. Perez R.	11. Pereiro S.
8. Sanz D.	19. Redondo Vera M.
7. Wasiak P.	18. Unciti X.
17. Zapico A.	91. Zungri N.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ European League and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ademar won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Ademar is certain favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Ademar won 12 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 576:556 (average 28.8:27.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Ademar won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 303:275 (average 30.3:27.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reale Ademar
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
08.12.24	Benidorm - Reale Ademar	28:28 ✺
01.12.24	Reale Ademar - BM Granollers	31:24 ✺
EHF European League
26.11.24	Gorenje Velenje - Reale Ademar	28:25 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
24.11.24	Quabit Guadalajara - Reale Ademar	28:28 ✺
EHF European League
19.11.24	Reale Ademar - HC Kriens-Luzern	30:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWLTL
- Helvetia Anaitasuna
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
08.12.24	Anaitasuna - Bidasoa Irun	28:29 ✺
01.12.24	BM Huesca - Anaitasuna	35:40 ✺
23.11.24	Anaitasuna - Barcelona	31:38 ✺
17.11.24	Villa de Aranda - Anaitasuna	27:26 ✺
02.11.24	Anaitasuna - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	27:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
23.02.24	Reale Ademar - Anaitasuna	38:23
01.10.23	Anaitasuna - Reale Ademar	28:25
Spanish Copa del Rey Handball
15.03.23	Anaitasuna - Reale Ademar	27:28
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
18.02.23	Reale Ademar - Anaitasuna	32:31
17.09.22	Anaitasuna - Reale Ademar	29:27
14.05.22	Reale Ademar - Anaitasuna	34:33
27.11.21	Anaitasuna - Reale Ademar	35:32

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