Match Info

SPAIN: Liga ASOBAL - Round 9

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Pabellón Santiago Manguán (Aranda de Duero)


	Villa de Aranda		Anaitasuna

	1	X	2
	2.25	8	2
	2.2	8	2
	2.2	7.8	1.94
	2.25	7.99	2	Watch
	2.2	7.5	1.91
	2.21	7.9	1.99
	2.2	7.8	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.33)	7.86 ↓ (7.92)	1.97 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa de Aranda
41.5%

Draw
11.7%

Anaitasuna
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

11.6%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

10.6%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa de Aranda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Anaitasuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa de Aranda than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anaitasuna than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Villa de Aranda - Anaitasuna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:30

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Lineups


22. Bas S.	30. Albizu A.
10. Dominguez R.	16. Cancio M.
28. Fischer G.	35. Castro P.
47. Gil J.	13. Duo A.
12. Guitart P.	47. Fernandez D.
93. Lopez A.	7. Ganuza M.
66. Lopez D.	24. Itoiz P.
19. Megias V.	12. Jaurrieta A.
44. Moral V.	33. Kisselev O.
5. Mosquera S.	8. Moreno A.
30. Pereira A.	11. Pereiro S.
23. Rogonovs J.	19. Redondo Vera M.
77. Sierra A.	18. Unciti X.
14. Trenco D.	91. Zungri N.
11. Trullols P.
24. Vega A. M.
21. Vyunyk M.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Division de Honor Plata and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Villa de Aranda won 0.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Villa de Aranda won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 315:340 (average 26.3:28.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Villa de Aranda won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 153:167 (average 25.5:27.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villa de Aranda
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
25.10.24	Villa de Aranda - BM Granollers	31:36 ✺
19.10.24	Quabit Guadalajara - Villa de Aranda	34:35 ✺
13.10.24	Villa de Aranda - Nava	31:34 ✺
06.10.24	Morrazo Cangas - Villa de Aranda	27:24 ✺
29.09.24	Villa de Aranda - Torrelavega	31:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLLL
- Helvetia Anaitasuna
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
02.11.24	Anaitasuna - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	27:25 ✺
26.10.24	Naturhouse La Rioja - Anaitasuna	32:28 ✺
19.10.24	Anaitasuna - Atlético Valladolid	22:27 ✺
13.10.24	BM Ciudad Encantada - Anaitasuna	31:30 ✺
05.10.24	Benidorm - Anaitasuna	26:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
20.03.21	Anaitasuna - Villa de Aranda	28:22
28.10.20	Villa de Aranda - Anaitasuna	23:24
25.02.17	Villa de Aranda - Anaitasuna	26:33
24.09.16	Anaitasuna - Villa de Aranda	27:27
25.05.16	Anaitasuna - Villa de Aranda	35:29
09.12.15	Villa de Aranda - Anaitasuna	28:27
28.02.15	Villa de Aranda - Anaitasuna	29:29

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