Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 29

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	Reale Ademar		Atlético Valladolid

	1	X	2
	1.47	9	3.8
	1.44	11	3.4
	1.45	9.6	3.3
	1.43	7.97	3.74	Watch
	1.4	8.5	3.4
	1.48	9.5	3.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.56)	9.26 ↑ (9.13)	3.49 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reale Ademar
63.7%

Draw
9.9%

Atlético Valladolid
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

10%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

10.4%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reale Ademar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Reale Ademar's performance.

Atlético Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Valladolid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reale Ademar than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Valladolid than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Reale Ademar - Atlético Valladolid Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ademar will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Atlético Valladolid will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:29

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Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 7)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ademar won 2.

Ademar is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Atlético Valladolid has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ademar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ademar is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ademar won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 637:590. (average 31.9:29.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ademar won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 309:267. (average 30.9:26.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Atl. Valladolid	4	4	0	0	139:118	8
13	Ademar	4	1	0	3	136:141	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reale Ademar
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
08.05.26	EÓN Alicante - Reale Ademar	35:32 ✺
02.05.26	Reale Ademar - Naturhouse La Rioja	32:32 ✺
26.04.26	Torrelavega - Reale Ademar	40:33 ✺
17.04.26	Reale Ademar - Quabit Guadalajara	34:31 ✺
10.04.26	Barcelona - Reale Ademar	48:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTLWL
- Atlético Valladolid
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
10.05.26	Atlético Valladolid - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	25:23 ✺
03.05.26	Caserio Ciudad Real - Atlético Valladolid	33:30 ✺
26.04.26	Atlético Valladolid - Bidasoa Irun	33:36 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey Handball
22.04.26	Barcelona II - Atlético Valladolid	29:32 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
19.04.26	BM Granollers - Atlético Valladolid	27:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
17.12.25	Atlético Valladolid - Reale Ademar	30:30
25.05.25	Reale Ademar - Atlético Valladolid	29:27
18.12.24	Atlético Valladolid - Reale Ademar	35:31
18.05.24	Atlético Valladolid - Reale Ademar	36:33
09.12.23	Reale Ademar - Atlético Valladolid	27:22
27.05.23	Reale Ademar - Atlético Valladolid	39:32
04.12.22	Atlético Valladolid - Reale Ademar	30:37

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